新疆旅游重心演变及驱动机制研究  

Study on the Evolution and Driving Mechanism of Xinjiang’s Tourism Focus

作　　者：王珊 朱怡婷[1] 杜嘉 刘欣鹭 李心蕊 WANG Shan;ZHU Yi-ting;DU Jia;LIU Xin-lu;LI Xin-rui(School of Tourism,Xinjiang University,830046,Urumqi,Xinjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学旅游学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830049

出　　处：《特区经济》2021年第7期131-134,共4页Special Zone Economy

基　　金：大学生创新项目。

摘　　要：本文以2009—2018年新疆各地州旅游收入为依据,借助重力模型对新疆入境旅游收入、国内旅游收入、旅游总收入进行时空演变刻画,并使用多元线性回归法进行驱动机制研究。结果显示:第一,入境旅游收入重心在2009—2018年间均位于北疆地区。新疆入境旅游收入重心在2009—2011年间不断向西迁移,在2011—2015年间垂直向北迁移,在2015—2018年间则先向东南方向迁移后向西部迁移呈"V字型"分布。国内旅游重心与总旅游收入重心迁移轨迹基本一致。第二,三类旅游收入重心均位于北疆地区,入境旅游收入重心较国内旅游收入重心、旅游总收入重心整体更偏西北部,变化范围更广。第三,GDP发展在全疆层面对旅游收入发展影响较弱,但对地州层面的入境旅游收入、国内旅游收入具有显著影响,且多为正向影响。高等级旅游资源禀赋同样在全疆层面未对入境旅游收入、国内旅游收入产生显著影响,但对各地州的入境、国内旅游收入影响不一。交通因素在旅游经济发展较强的区域产生负向影响,在旅游经济发展较弱的区域产生正向影响。开放度和政府三产投入额在地州层面影响旅游经济的发展,并且对入境旅游发展的影响具有南、北疆差异性。Based on the tourism revenue of all regions in Xinjiang from 2009 to 2018, this paper USES gravity model to describe the spatiotemporal evolution of inbound tourism revenue, domestic tourism revenue and total tourism revenue in Xinjiang, and USES multiple linear regression method to study its driving mechanism.The results show that the center of inbound tourism revenue is located in northern Xinjiang from 2009 to 2018.From 2009 to 2011, the center of inbound tourism income in Xinjiang moved to the west;from 2011 to 2015, it moved vertically to the north;from 2015 to 2018, it moved first to the southeast and then to the west in a vshaped distribution. The center of gravity of domestic tourism is basically the same as the center of gravity of total tourism revenue. The three categories of tourism revenue focus are all located in northern Xinjiang,and the inbound tourism revenue focus is more to the west and north than the domestic tourism revenue focus and the overall tourism revenue focus. The range is wider. GDP development has a weak impact on the development of tourism revenue at the level of Xinjiang, but it has a significant impact on the inbound tourism revenue and domestic tourism revenue at the prefectural level, and most of the impact is positive. The high-level tourism resource endowment also has no significant influence on the inbound tourism income and domestic tourism income in Xinjiang, but it has different influences on the inbound tourism income and domestic tourism income in different regions. The traffic factor will have a negative influence in the regions with strong tourism economic development, and a positive influence in the regions with weak tourism economic development.The degree of openness and the amount of government investment in the three industries affect the development of tourism economy at the prefectural level, and the influence on the development of inbound tourism is different in the south and the north.

关 键 词：旅游收入 重心 时空演变 区域经济 驱动机制 

分 类 号：K928.9[历史地理—人文地理学] F59.27[经济管理—旅游管理]