中国社会变迁知觉的“美好明天效应”:文化认同与文化自信的作用  

The Better Tomorrow Effect in Chinese Perceptions of Social Change:The Role of Cultural Identification and Cultural Confidence

作　　者：周欣彤 李婵艳 韦庆旺[1] Zhou Xintong;Li Chanyan;Wei Qingwang

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学心理学系

出　　处：《中国社会心理学评论》2021年第1期251-266,274,275,共18页Chinese Social Psychological Review

基　　金：国家民委民族理论政策研究基地项目(2018-GMG-005)成果。

摘　　要：以往研究发现中国人对中国社会变迁的知觉存在“美好明天效应”,人们认为随着中国社会变迁,中国人的能力和热情水平均会提高,从而区别于一般的认为能力提高、热情降低的社会变迁知觉的民间理论。本研究采用问卷法对1281名中国民众进行调查,探讨中国人的文化认同和文化自信对“美好明天效应”的影响机制。结果发现文化认同显著正向预测对未来社会能力和热情的变迁知觉(“美好明天效应”),文化自信在其中起完全中介作用。这一发现对理解中国人在中国社会变迁背景下的文化认同与文化自信具有一定的启发意义。Previous studies have found the better tomorrow effect in Chinese perceptions of social change.The better tomorrow effect is that Chinese people predict a more competent and warmer future with the development and change of Chinese society.It is different from the general Western folk theory of social change which predicts a more competent and colder future.In this study’1281 Chinese community participants participated the study by completing questionaires to explore the roles of cultural identification and cultural confidence in the better tomorrow effect.The results showed that cultural identification significantly positively predicted the perceptions of competence and warmth in the future(the better tomorrow effect)’and cultural confidence played a fully mediating role.This finding is of great significance for understanding the cultural identity and cultural confidence of Chinese people in the context of China’s social changes.

关 键 词：社会变迁 文化认同 文化自信 

分 类 号：G122[文化科学]