公交线路停靠时间比例特性及影响因素分析  

Proportional Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Bus Dwell Time

作　　者：杨宇航 陈国俊 张抒扬 刘好德[2] 祁昊 YANG Yuhang;CHEN Guojun;ZHANG Shuyang;LIU Haode;QI Hao(School of Transportation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China;China Academy of Transportation Sciences, MOT, Beijing 100029, China)

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学交通学院,武汉430063 [2]交通运输部科学研究院,北京100029

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2021年第4期643-648,共6页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71701159)。

摘　　要：提出一种估计城市公交线路运营停靠时间的方法,只需提供公交运营班次的电子路单数据,即可有效估计相应班次的总停靠时间.基于济南市公交智能调度数据统计分析发现:公交运营班次的总停靠时间与行程时间存在显著比例关系,比例系数随公交线路差异波动程度较大,而与驾驶员行为、日期、时段的关联性较弱.采用相关性与回归分析研究发现:公交运营线路的站点密度、交叉口密度、高需求站点率以及是否BRT线路等四个因素对停靠时间比例系数存在显著影响,拟合回归模型对停靠时间比例系数的平均估计误差约为6.8%.A method for estimating the stopping time of urban bus line operation was proposed,which can effectively estimate the total stopping time of the corresponding shift only by providing the electronic waybill data of bus operation shift.Based on the statistical analysis of intelligent bus dispatching data in Jinan,it is found that there is a significant proportional relationship between the total stop time of bus operation shifts and the travel time,and the proportional coefficient fluctuates greatly with the difference of bus lines,but has a weak correlation with driver behavior,date and time.By using correlation and regression analysis,it is found that four factors,such as station density,intersection density,high demand station rate and BRT line,have significant influence on the stopping time proportional coefficient,and the average estimation error of the fitting regression model to the stopping time proportional coefficient is about 6.8%.

关 键 词：城市交通 比例特性 公交 停靠时间 行程时间 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]