产业智能化、劳动力结构和产业结构升级  

Industrial intelligence, labor structure and industrial structure upgrading

作　　者：张万里 宣旸 睢博[3] 魏玮[4] ZHANG Wan-li;XUAN Yang;SUI Bo;WEI Wei(School of Public Policy and Administration,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi’an 710072,China;School of Humanities,Xidian University,Xi’an 710126,China;International Business School,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi’an 710062,China;Institution of Economics and Finance,Xian Jiao Tong University,Xi’an 710061,China)

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,陕西西安710061 [2]西安电子科技大学人文学院,陕西西安710126 [3]陕西师范大学国际商学院,陕西西安710062 [4]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《科学学研究》2021年第8期1384-1395,共12页Studies in Science of Science

基　　金：国家自然科学青年科学基金项目(71804140);陕西省软科学项目(2020KRM120)。

摘　　要：产业智能化导致低技能和重复性劳动力被替代,对高技能劳动力的需求提升,劳动力、资本等生产要素在产业间重新配置,影响产业结构。鉴于此,利用2004-2016年中国省级面板数据,采用静态和动态面板回归模型估计产业智能化对产业结构高级化和合理化的影响,分析高低技能劳动力和男女比例的调节作用,研究地区异质性的不同效果。研究发现:(1)产业智能化促进地区产业结构高级化,但对合理化的影响为负;(2)高低技能劳动力比例的提高和男女比例的下降会促进产业智能化对产业结构高级化的正向作用,并缓解其对产业结构合理化的负向影响;(3)产业智能化对东、中部产业结构升级作用显著,但对西部地区产业结构升级的影响不明显,并且劳动力结构调节作用强度不同。Industrial intelligence leads to the replacement of low-skilled and repetitive labor,and the increasing demand for high-skilled labor,which will affect the distribution of capital and labor,and change the industrial structure.Based on the panel data of 2004-2016 in China,this paper analyzes the relationship between industrial intelligence and upgrading of industrial structure,and the moderating effect of labor structure and regional heterogeneity,through using the static and dynamic panel regression model.It is found that:(1)Industrial intelligence can promote the upgrading of regional industrial structure,but has a negative impact on industrial structure rationalization;(2)The increase of the ratio of high-skilled labor to low-skilled labor and the decrease of the ratio of men to women will promote the positive effect of industrial intelligence on the industrial structure optimization,and relieve the negative impact on industrial structure rationalization;(3)Industrial intelligence has a higher effect on upgrading of industrial structure in the eastern and the central than that of western.The moderating effect of labor force structure is also different.

关 键 词：产业智能化 产业结构高级化 产业结构合理化 劳动力结构 系统GMM 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F062.9