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作 者:梅琦 王富平[1] 陶玲 邹晓琴[1] 曾伟 周悦洋 MEI Qi;WANG Fuping;TAO Ling;ZOU Xiaoqin;ZENG Wei;ZHOU Yueyang(Natural Gas Economic Research Institute of PetroChina Southwest Oil&Gasfield Company,Chengdu,Sichuan 610051,China;Marketing Department of PetroChina Southwest Oil&Gasfield Company,Chengdu,Sichuan,610051,China;CPECC Southwest Company,Chengdu,Sichuan,610041,China;Northeast Sichuan Operation Company of PetroChina Southwest Oil&Gasfield Company,Chengdu,Sichuan,610051,China)
机构地区:[1]中国石油西南油气田公司天然气经济研究所,四川成都610051 [2]中国石油西南油气田公司营销部,四川成都610051 [3]中国石油工程建设有限公司西南分公司,四川成都610041 [4]中国石油西南油气田公司川东北作业公司,四川成都610051
出 处:《天然气与石油》2021年第4期123-128,共6页Natural Gas and Oil
基 金:中国石油西南油气田公司“基于‘网销分离’的终端市场竞争环境与发展策略研究”项目资助(20210310-04)。
摘 要:随着主要石油公司管输资产注入国家油气管网公司的完成,全国逐步形成实质性的一张网,将对天然气销售产生深远影响,天然气资源可以在地区间自由进出,必将加剧竞争,加速销售主体多元化;同时也极大地增加了用户的议价能力,价格在供应端的竞争将十分激烈。结合外输流向和各进气点之间的管输价格,将川渝天然气跨省销售的路径分为“东进”“北上”和“南下”三个方向,对比分析了川渝天然气跨省销售价格与当地门站价格的优劣势,同时也比较了进口LNG销售至沿海城市与川渝天然气的竞争力。分析结果显示,天然气在川渝地区就地销售效益最高,此外两湖地区是川渝气外输的优先选择。资源供应量充足的条件下,在川渝地区需要不断挖掘市场潜力,扩大市场规模。With the completion of asset infusion from the major oil and gas companies,the“One National Gas Grid”is expected for China s the natural gas pipeline network.This development will have profound impact on the natural gas sales.The sales are no longer restricted in one particular region,and natural gas resources will be supplied through multiple agents in the downstream market,where competition will be intensified and sales entities will be more diversified.In the meantime,the bargaining power of buyers is enhanced as well.In this paper,the inter-provincial gas sales path between Sichuan and Chongqing are divided into three major directions,namely“eastward”,“northward”and“southward”,taking into account the different transmission pipeline gas prices between the export gas and the inlet point gas in these flow directions.And the competitiveness of market price of natural gas in Sichuan and Chongqing exported to other provinces is analyzed against local gas price in these provinces and also against imported LNG resources.Results shows that“local consumption”is the preferred sales mode for Sichuan and Chongqing natural gas.The optimal outbound markets of Sichuan and Chongqing natural gas are Hubei and Hunan provinces.The abundant supply of natural gas has brought forth a constant effort to explore the local market potentials in Sichuan and Chongqing in order to expand the market size.
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