信息化、就业增长与人口流动--基于“胡焕庸线”的分析  

Informationization,Employment Growth and Population Mobility--Based on the Analysis of the"Hu Line"

作　　者：程广帅[1] 胡锦锈 CHENG Guang-shuai;HU Jin-xiu(School of Public Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan Hubei,430073;Hubei Huangshi Municipal CPC School,Huangshi,Hubei,435109)

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430073 [2]中共黄石市委党校经济教研室,湖北黄石435109

出　　处：《新疆大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2021年第5期11-18,共8页Journal of Xinjiang University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目“胡焕庸线稳定性与中国人口均衡发展战略研究”(18ZDA132)。

摘　　要：本文构建了信息化影响人口流动的理论框架及其作用机制,并基于2003—2017年地级市数据,运用工具变量法,对信息化、就业增长与人口流动之间的关系进行了实证检验,发现信息化确实显著促进了人口流动,而就业增长则是其中的中介机制。信息化对人口流动的影响在“胡焕庸线”两侧存在显著的差异,在西北侧的影响大于东南侧。加大对“胡焕庸线”西北侧信息基础设施的建设,是突破“胡焕庸线”的有效途径。This paper formulated a theoretical framework and mechanism of the influence of informationization on population mobility.Based on the data of prefecture-level cities from 2003 to 2017,it conducted an empirical test on the relationship between informationization,employment growth and population mobility by using the instrumental variable method.Results showed that informatization does promote population mobility,and the intermediary mechanism is the employment growth brought by the extensive application of information and communication technology in the economy and society.In addition,the impact of informatization on population mobility is significantly different on both sides of the"Hu Line"---the impact on the northwest side is greater than that on the southeast side.Therefore,an increase of the investment in the information infrastructure in the northwest is an effective path to break through the"Hu Line".

关 键 词：信息化 就业增长 人口流动 胡焕庸线 

分 类 号：F249.27[经济管理—劳动经济]