国内外液化石油气市场“十三五”回顾及“十四五”展望  

Global LPG Market: 13th FYP Review and 14th FYP Prospect

作　　者：杨晨 Yang Chen(Sinopec Economics&Development Research Institute Company Limited,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,北京100029

出　　处：《当代石油石化》2021年第7期28-32,38,共6页Petroleum & Petrochemical Today

摘　　要：2015–2020年全球及中国液化石油气(LPG)进入原料和燃料多样化发展的繁荣时期,由于炼油产能和页岩气产量扩张,LPG保持供应充足和价格友好的特点,在石油消费中的占比提升。2020–2025年全球LPG需求仍将保持较好增长,同时地区间供需不平衡推动贸易的规模继续扩张,将达到历史最高水平。中国LPG市场将呈现需求和进口双增长,LPG进口量将再创新高,中美贸易关系将影响供应来源;在油品质量升级和化工产品旺盛需求拉动下,LPG作为石化原料用途推动国内LPG消费量继续攀升。另外,中国LPG期货的上市将发挥更大的作用,提升中国LPG价格的话语权。During the 13 th Five-Year Plan,the LPG market in China and abroad entered into a prosperous period of diversified development as chemical feedstock and fuel,resulting from expansion of oil refining capacity and shale gas production.The LPG market saw sufficient supply,friendly price and higher share in oil consumption.During the 14 th Five-Year Plan,global LPG demand will still keep a relatively good growth,while LPG trade scale will continue to expand due to unbalanced supply and demand among regions and will reach the highest level in history.China’s LPG market will see both demand and import growths with LPG import set to reach a new high,and Sino-US trade relation will have an impact on supply sources.Driven by oil products quality upgrading and strong demand for chemical products,using LPG as petrochemical feedstock will promote domestic LPG consumption.In addition,the launch of China’s LPG futures will play a bigger role and enhance China’s right to speak in LPG price.

关 键 词：液化石油气 供应 需求 贸易增长 期货 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]