旅游业发展对贵州省区域经济增长贡献的定量分析  

Quantitative Analysis of the Contribution of Tourism Development to Regional Economic Growth in Guizhou Province

作　　者：杨进波 Yang Jinbo(School of Economics,Guizhou University,Guizhou Guiyang 550025,China)

机构地区：[1]贵州大学经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《国土与自然资源研究》2021年第6期53-57,共5页Territory & Natural Resources Study

摘　　要：旅游是当今社会人们生活中不可缺少的行为活动。本文以2005-2019年贵州省旅游业与经济发展的相关统计数据,首先应用向量自回归(VAR)模型分析了贵州省的旅游收入与GDP的关系;其次根据相关数据测算出旅游收入依存度、旅游业贡献率、旅游业拉动率、旅游业对固定资产投资贡献率、旅游业对第三产业贡献率、旅游业的就业贡献率和旅游业创汇贡献率7个指标,分析了旅游业对贵州省区域经济增长所做的贡献。根据对上述两个问题的研究结果,提出了贵州省旅游发展的相关建议,特别地提出促进旅游创新,即根据不同游客的需求和偏好,按照贵州省各旅游地具有的旅游资源要素禀赋结构所决定的比较优势,打造出符合当地特色的旅游新产品、高需求、服务质量;大数据与旅游业结合形成旅游竞争效应,即贵州旅游产业达到完全竞争市场的条件,旅游资源能被有效地利用和配置,贵州省旅游产业将发展更快,对贵州省区域经济增长的贡献将会更大。Tourism is an indispensable activity in people's life in today's society.Based on the statistical data of tourism and economic development in Guizhou Province from 2005 to 2019,this paper first analyzes the relationship between tourism income and GDP in Guizhou Province by using vector autoregressive(VAR)model.Secondly,according to the relevant data,seven indicators are calculated,including the dependence on tourism income,the contribution rate of tourism,the pull rate of tourism,the contribution rate of tourism to fixed assets investment,the contribution rate of tourism to tertiary industry,the employment contribution rate of tourism and the contribution rate of tourism to foreign exchange earning.According to the research results of the above two problems,this paper puts forward some suggestions on tourism development in Guizhou Province,especially to promote tourism innovation,that is,according to the needs and preferences of different tourists and the comparative advantages determined by the endowment structure of tourism resources in various tourist destinations in Guizhou Province,to create new tourism products,high demand and service quality that meet local characteristics;the combination of big data and tourism has formed the tourism competition effect,that is,the tourism industry in Guizhou has reached the condition of a completely competitive market,and the tourism resources can be effectively utilized and allocated.The tourism industry in Guizhou will develop faster and contribute more to the regional economic growth of Guizhou Province.

关 键 词：旅游业 经济增长 旅游收入依存度 旅游业贡献率 旅游业拉动率 

分 类 号：F592.3[经济管理—旅游管理]