基于风险矩阵的水库风险评价方法研究与应用  

Research and application of reservoir risk assessment method based on risk matrix

作　　者：徐铭[1] 曹恒楼 陈钟 XU Ming;CAO Henglou;CHEN Zhong(The Hongze Lake Water Conservancy Project Management Office of Jiangsu Province,Huai'an 223100,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏省洪泽湖水利工程管理处,江苏洪泽223100

出　　处：《江苏水利》2021年第9期62-65,共4页Jiangsu Water Resources

摘　　要：水库的安全运行一直是防汛工作的重点,以中型水库为例,科学划分评价单元,辨识运行管理的危险源和风险点,采用风险矩阵法(LS法)对风险进行评价,按风险值将风险等级划分为重大风险、较大风险、一般风险和低风险,对风险按照等级进行分类管理,便于管理单位有重点、有针对性地制定措施以减低风险,提高管理的安全性,对类似水库安全运行管理具有参考和借鉴意义。The safe operation of reservoirs has always been the focus of flood control work.Taking medium-sized reservoirs as an example,the evaluation unit was scientifically divided,and the hazard sources and risk points of operation and management were identified.The risk matrix method(LS method)was used to evaluate the risk.According to the risk value,the risk level was divided into major risk,large risk,general risk and low risk.The classified management of risks according to grades was convenient for thE-management units to formulate measures with emphasis and pertinence to reduce risks and improve the safety of management,which could have reference significance for the safe operation and management of similar reservoirs.

关 键 词：水库 风险管理 风险矩阵 

分 类 号：TV697[水利工程—水利水电工程]