山东省农业机械化与粮食生产耦合协调水平时空分异研究  

Spatial and Temporal Variation of Coupling Relationship Between Grain Yield and Agricultural Mechanization Level in Shandong Province

作　　者：于志超 李贻学[2] 李进涛 YU Zhichao;LI Yixue;LI Jintao(Business College,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an 271018,China;Resources and Environment College,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an 271018,China;School of Politics and Public Administration,Shandong University,Qingdao 266237,China)

机构地区：[1]山东农业大学商学院,山东泰安271018 [2]山东农业大学资源与环境学院,山东泰安271018 [3]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院,山东青岛266237

出　　处：《湖北民族大学学报（自然科学版）》2021年第3期346-352,360,共8页Journal of Hubei Minzu University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(20YJCZH070).

摘　　要：为提高区域粮食生产能力,促进农村农业振兴,采用耦合协调模型及空间数据相关性分析(ESDA),并结合同步发展模型及空间集聚特征,对山东省县域尺度下农业机械化与粮食生产时空耦合协调性进行研究.结果表明:山东省农业机械化与粮食产量呈现出以“中度耦合”为主的特征,距离最优的耦合水平仍有较大的差距.处于拮抗阶段的县区与处于磨合阶段的县区数量相互转化,研究后期,拮抗阶段的县域数量仍然占比较高.农业机械化水平和粮食产量协调度主要呈“高值-高值”集聚和“低值-低值”集聚.在总体空间分布上,“高值-高值”集聚的县区主要分布在鲁西南黄淮平原、鲁西北平原、胶东平原.“低值-低值”集聚的县区分布较为零星.山东省以同步发展类型的县域为主.研究期末,拮抗同步类型县区数量明显减少,磨合同步类型的县域数量明显增加,磨合同步类型县域在空间上呈现出了显著的空间集聚性.建议未来应因地制宜地制定相关措施和政策,优化山东省县域的农业机械化与粮食生产的耦合水平和空间格局.The revitalization of grain industry is an important part of the strategy of rural revitalization,and agricultural mechanization is the necessary condition to promote grain production.In order to improve regional grain production capacity and promote rural agricultural revitalization,we studied the spatio-temporal coupling coordination of agricultural mechanization and grain production in Shandong province by adopting the coupling coordination model and spatial correlation analysis(ESDA)and combining the synchronous development model.The results showed that the county scale agricultural mechanization and grain production in Shandong Province showed the characteristics of“moderate coupling”,and there were big distance from the optimal coupling level.During the study period,the number of counties in the stage of antagonism and the number of counties in the stage of running in phase were transformed each other.In the later period of the study,the number of counties in the antagonistic stage was still relatively high.Under the county scale,the coordination degree of agricultural mechanization level and grain output was mainly“high value-high value”agglomeration and“low value-low value”agglomeration.In the spatial distribution,the counties with“high value-high value”agglomeration are mainly distributed in the Huang Huai plain,the northwest plain of Shandong Province and the Jiaodong plain.The counties with“low value-low value”agglomeration are scattered.During the study period,counties of Shandong Province were mainly based on synchronous development.At the end of the study period,the number of antagonistic synchronous types of counties decreased significantly,and the number of counties with synchronous type of adaptation and synchronization increased significantly.There is an obvious coupling relationship between agricultural mechanization and grain yield in Shandong Province,and spatial agglomeration is also shown.It is suggested that relevant measures and policies should be formulated in accorda

关 键 词：农业机械化 粮食产量 耦合协调模型 空间数据分析 

分 类 号：F323.3[经济管理—产业经济]