中国竹藤家具出口贸易流量及潜力研究--基于扩展引力模型的分析  

Study on the Export Trade Flow and Potentiality of Chinese Bamboo Rattan Furniture--Based on the Extended Gravity Model

作　　者：赵亮[1] 张忠根[1] Zhao Liang;Zhang Zhonggen(Center for Agricultural and Rural Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang 310012,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学中国农村发展研究院,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《保定学院学报》2021年第5期27-35,共9页Journal of Baoding University

摘　　要：竹藤家具经济、低碳、环保,其未来发展前景非常可观。中国竹藤家具出口增长率和国际市场占有率稳居世界第一。基于扩展引力模型,分析得到2007—2019年中国对20个主要贸易伙伴国的竹藤家具出口受经济规模、人口规模、优惠条件和金融危机的显著影响;对贸易潜力进行测算,表明中国竹藤家具对所有样本国均为贸易潜力开拓型或巨大型,仍具有可扩展的市场空间。最后,提出充分发挥比较优势、积极拓展“朋友圈”、继续深挖现有出口市场等建议。Bamboo rattan furniture is economical,low-carbon and environmentally friendly,and its future development prospects are very impressive.The export growth rate and international market share of Chinese bamboo rattan furniture ranks first in the world.Based on the extended gravity model,the analysis shows that Chinese export of bamboo rattan furniture to 20 major trading partner countries from 2007 to 2019 was significantly affected by economic scale,population size,preferential conditions and financial crisis;the calculation of trade potential shows that Chinese bamboo rattan furniture is a pioneering or huge type of trade potential for all sample countries,and it still has expandable market space.Finally,this article puts forward policy recommendations that give full play to comparative advantages,actively expand the“circle of friends”,continue to dig into existing export markets.

关 键 词：竹藤家具 出口 贸易潜力 引力模型 

分 类 号：F326.24[经济管理—产业经济]