中国物流产业智慧化水平测度及影响因素  

Research on the Measurement of Intelligent Level and Driving Factors of China’s Logistics Industry

作　　者：孙磊[1] 张树山[1] 郭坤[1] SUN Lei;ZHANG Shu-shan;GUO Kun(School of Economics and Management,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,Jilin,China)

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学经济与管理学院,吉林长春130024

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2021年第10期30-38,共9页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“物流产业智慧化绩效生成机理与智慧物流体系构建对策研究”(18BJY180)。

摘　　要：物流产业智慧化发展既是摆脱物流业目前困境的有效手段,也是直接影响我国经济发展质量以及竞争优势提升的关键点之一。从物流产业智慧化基础要素投入水平、智慧化服务应用水平以及智慧化效益水平三个维度构建评价指标体系,利用全局熵值法测度2006—2019年中国及29个省市自治区的物流产业智慧化水平,并在此基础上构建动态面板数据模型,通过系统GMM估计,实证检验成本压力、环境规制、政府干预、交通网络密度和科技水平等因素对物流产业智慧化水平的影响效应。实证结果表明,在研究期内,中国物流产业智慧化水平呈现出逐年递升的态势,但存在明显的地区差异;被解释变量的一阶和二阶滞后项对当期均产生显著的正向影响,说明物流产业智慧化发展中存在路径依赖效应;环境规制、交通运输网络和科技水平发挥了促进中国物流产业智慧化发展的重要作用,成本压力在一定程度上抑制了中国物流产业智慧化发展;不同的影响因素对物流产业智慧化各维度间的影响作用各异。为提高中国物流产业智慧化水平,应把握区域物流产业智慧化发展规律,建立物流产业智慧化标准体系,探索创新监管机制,明确各领域监管主体,推进新型基础设施建设,完善物流职业人才培养和培训体系。The intelligent development of logistics industry is not only an effective means to get rid of the current predicament of logistics industry,but also an important key point that directly affects the quality of China's economic development and the improvement of competitive advantages.The evaluation index system is constructed from three dimensions:the input level of basic elements,the application level of intelligent service and the benefit level of intelligentization of logistics industry.The overall entropy method is used to measure the intelligentization level of logistics industry in China and 29 provinces and autonomous regions from 2006 to 2019.And based on this,the authors build a dynamic panel data model;through the system GMM estimation,the authors empirically test the influence of cost pressure,environmental regulation,government intervention,traffic network density and technological level on the intelligent level of logistics industry.The results show that during the study period,the intelligent level of China's logistics industry shows an increasing trend year by year,but there are obvious regional differences.The first and second lag terms of the explained variables have a significant positive impact on the current period,indicating the existence of‘path dependence’effect in the intelligent development of logistics industry.Environmental regulation,transportation network and scientific and technological level play an important role in promoting the intelligent development of China's logistics industry,and cost pressure inhibits the intelligent development of China's logistics industry to some extent.Different influencing factors have different effects on the dimensions of logistics industry intelligence.In order to improve the intelligent level of China's logistics industry,we should grasp the law of intelligent development of regional logistics industry,establish the standard system,explore innovative regulatory mechanisms,clarify the main body of supervision in different fields,promote new infr

关 键 词：物流产业 智慧化水平 全局熵值法 系统GMM估计 

分 类 号：F250[经济管理—国民经济]