安徽省对外贸易发展现状及影响因素研究  

Research on Foreign Trade Development Status and Influencing Factors in Anhui Province

作　　者：万红先[1] 潘文娣 WAN Hongxian;PAN Wendi

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《淮南师范学院学报》2021年第4期55-62,共8页Journal of Huainan Normal University

基　　金：2020年度安徽省高校社会科学研究重大项目“安徽与‘一带一路’国家的贸易效率与潜力研究”(SK2020ZD007);安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金“中美服务贸易逆差及其影响因素研究”(ACYC2019040)。

摘　　要：根据1978~2019年的年度数据,从对外贸易规模、对外贸易方式、对外贸易伙伴空间分布三个维度,研究安徽省对外贸易发展格局并分析其成因。研究显示:安徽省对外贸易近些年取得了快速发展,其对外贸易量在全国对外贸易格局中的地位呈现先降后升的变化;对外贸易方式以一般贸易为主,加工贸易为辅,两者增速呈现正负交替增长,加工贸易增速要快于一般贸易;主要贸易伙伴与依存度较高的贸易伙伴之间空间差异明显。利用stata软件对影响安徽省贸易发展的因素进行回归分析,结果表明安徽省居民消费价格指数、外汇储备对安徽省对外贸易推动作用较大,并在此基础上提出相关政策建议。Based on the annual data from 1978 to 2019,the development pattern of foreign trade in Anhui province was described and its causes were analyzed from the dimensions of foreign trade scale,foreign trade mode and spatial distribution of foreign trade partners.The results show that:(1)The foreign trade of Anhui province has achieved rapid development in recent years,and the status of its foreign trade volume in the national foreign trade pattern presents the change of first decreasing and then increasing;(2)Foreign trade in Anhui province in general trade,processing trade as a supplement.The growth rate of both showed positive and negative growth alternately,and the growth rate of processing trade was faster than that of general trade.(3)The spatial difference between the major trading partners of Anhui province and the trading partners with a higher degree of dependence is obvious.The regression analysis of the factors affecting the trade development of Anhui province was carried out by using STATA software.The results showed that the consumer price index and foreign exchange reserve of Anhui Province played a significant role in promoting the foreign trade of Anhui Province.On this basis,relevant policy Suggestions were put forward.

关 键 词：安徽省 贸易方式 贸易伙伴 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]