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作 者:Sasan KAFAEI Peyman KARAMI Robab MEHDIZADEH Vahid AKMALI
机构地区:[1]Department of Biology,Faculty of Science,Razi University,Kermanshah 6714967346,Iran [2]Department of Environmental Sciences,Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment Sciences,Malayer University,Malayer 65719-95863,Iran
出 处:《Journal of Mountain Science》2021年第9期2357-2376,共20页山地科学学报(英文)
基 金:the Razi University authorities,Kermanshah,for their help and support of this study。
摘 要:Rapid climate change has provided the opportunity for many species to learn to adapt fast enough to modify their range distribution.The positive and negative responses of the species in terms of distribution are related to parameters such as kind of species,degree of specialization,size and movement skills,and such factors.Moving to high elevations and transitions to higher latitudes are among the strategies proposed as a solution to the negative effects of climate change.Therefore,predicting how different species respond to climate change can help predict the conservation program for them.Species distribution models(SDMs)are widely used to predict the geographical distribution of habitat suitability and species occurrence.Rhinopoma muscatellum is one of the three mousetailed bats(Rhinopomatidae)inhabiting the southeastern,southern,and southwestern parts of Iran and its distribution range to the interior and northern parts of Iran has been limited by the Elburz and Zagros Mountain.To study the effect of climate change on this species,range shifts and coverage of protected regions,74 presence points and environmental variables(climate,topography,anthropogenic,and vegetation)in MaxEnt software were used.Before the implementation of the model,the autocorrelation of the presence points was reduced and the selection of pseudo absent points was limited by using the bias grid.Climate variables were prepared for Mid-Holocene,Current,Climate Current,and Future scenarios in 2070(RCP2.6,RCP4.5,RCP6,and RCP8.5).In order to evaluate the overlap of ecological niche,the Schoener’s D and I statistic metrics were used.Also,to measure the breadth of the niches,B1(inverse concentration)and B2(uncertainty)metrics in ENMTOOLS software were employed.TSS statistics were used as a threshold.Species distribution trend changes in climatic scenarios were performed by the Mann Kendall(MK)test.Based on the results,the AUC values for current and future climate models were calculated to be 0.89 and 0.85,respectively.The distance from settlem
关 键 词:CHIROPTERA Rhinopoma muscatellum Zagros Mountains Climatic changes MAXENT Iran
分 类 号:Q968[生物学—昆虫学] P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
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