基于云模型的防空武器系统毁伤效能评估  

Damage Effectiveness Evaluation of Air Defense Weapon System Based on Cloud Model

作　　者：张宗腾 张琳[1] 汪文峰[1] 张搏[1] 张肖羽 ZHANG Zongteng;ZHANG Lin;WANG Wenfeng;ZHANG Bo;ZHANG Xiaoyu(Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710051, China;Unit 95835, Malan 741700, China)

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学,陕西西安710051 [2]95835部队,新疆马兰741700

出　　处：《信息工程大学学报》2021年第4期497-501,共5页Journal of Information Engineering University

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金资助课题(2017M623417)。

摘　　要：在毁伤打击威胁目标过程中,针对现代防空武器手段所存在随机性和模糊性问题,首先从武器系统本身、作战环境、毁伤目标等方面分析了影响防空武器系统毁伤效能发挥的主要因素,建立了与之对应的评估指标体系;其次,引入云模型并提出了一种基于云模型的毁伤效能评估方法,以反映毁伤过程的不确定性;最后,通过算例仿真与分析,验证了该模型的稳定性和可靠性。为今后防空武器系统的论证、研制、试验和部署提供了一定的借鉴参考。To address the randomness and ambiguity of modern air defense weapons in the process of destroying and attacking threat targets,this paper firstly analyzes the main factors affecting the effectiveness of air defense weapon systems from the weapon system,combat environment,and damage targets.Corresponding evaluation index system is established.Secondly,the cloud model is introduced and a damage effectiveness evaluation method based on cloud model is proposed to reflect the uncertainty of the damage process.Finally,the simulation and analysis of a calculation example verify the stability and reliability of the model.It provides a certain reference for the demonstration,development,testing,and deployment of air defense weapon systems in the future.

关 键 词：防空武器系统 评估指标体系 云模型 毁伤效能 

分 类 号：N945[自然科学总论—系统科学]