北京市虚拟水消费与贸易分析  

Analysis on the characteristics of virtual water consumption and trade

作　　者：姜珊[1] 秦长海[1] 朱永楠[1] 王庆明[1] 王丽珍[1] 何国华[1] JIANG Shan;QIN Changhai;ZHU Yongnan;WANG Qingming;WANG Lizhen;HE Guohua(State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China)

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京100038

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技（中英文）》2021年第5期853-861,共9页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFE0196000);国家自然科学基金项目(51809282)。

摘　　要：为真实反映地区水资源承载状况,需要从产业结构和商品贸易的角度分析地区虚拟水消费情况。以北京市为研究区,基于北京市投入产出表,对比分析2007、2012、2017年不同生产部门用水系数、虚拟水终端消费和贸易情况以及部门间虚拟水转移量。结果表明:随着北京市节水工作的推进,各部门的直接用水系数减小,近10年北京市虚拟水终端消费量减少14%;作为虚拟水净流入城市,北京市虚拟水净流入量为29.79亿m^(3),占虚拟水终端消费量的64.7%,其中农业和服务业分别是虚拟水最大净流入和净流出的部门;农业-制造业、农业-服务业、制造业-建筑业、制造业-服务业具有很强的虚拟水输出-输入关系,未来北京市节水工作不仅要减少农业的生产规模,而且要减少制造业、建筑业和服务业的产品消耗,减少终端消费浪费。Water scarcity has become a common global problem.As a mega-city, Beijing supports more than 20 million permanent residents with 2.16 billion m^(3) of local water resources.South-to-North Water Diversion and recycled water could resolve the crisis of water resource shortage of Beijing effectively, while virtual water flow with commodity trade has also changed the distribution of water resources in economic sectors and regions, and played an important role in alleviating water shortages.To fully reflect water resources bearing capacity, it is required to analyze the virtual water consumption and trade from the perspective of industrial structure and commodity trade.An urban virtual water accounting framework is proposed based on input-output table and the direct and complete water consumption coefficients of the 8 major departments of Beijing in 2007,2012 and 2017 are analyzed under the background of industrial structure adjustment and water-saving work, as well as research the characteristics of sectoral virtual water consumption and virtual water flows among different sectors.From 2007 to 2017,the direct water use coefficient of all sectors in Beijing shows a downward trend, the direct and complete water use coefficient of agriculture are largest, and completer water use coefficient drops from 716 m^(3)/$1 000 in 2007 to 222.1 m^(3)/$1 000 in 2017,the multiplier for agricultural water use declines from 1.6 to 1.2 which indicates the impact of agricultural development has weakened the increase in water use in other sectors.The direct water use coefficient of transportation, construction, and manufacturing sectors are small, but the water multiplier is large, and the increase in unit products of these will bring about water consumption in other sectors.In the past 10 years, the total local end use of virtual water has dropped from 5.37 billion m^(3) to 4.5 billion m^(3),the virtual water consumption in the service industry accounts for total virtual water consumption decreases from 32.8% to 30%,and the proportion

关 键 词：虚拟水 投入产出分析 虚拟水消费量 虚拟水贸易量 用水系数 北京 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]