Estimating the opportunity costs of avoiding oil palm-based deforestation in Indonesia:Implications for REDD  

作　　者：Xi Li Xufang Zhang Hongqiang Yang 

机构地区：[1]College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing,210037,China [2]Research Center for Economics and Trade in Forest Products of the State Forestry Administration(SINO-RCETFOR),Nanjing,210037,China [3]Department of Forestry and Natural Resources,Purdue University,West Lafayette,the United States [4]Yangtze River Delta Economics and Social Development Research Center,Nanjing University,Nanjing,210093,China

出　　处：《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》2020年第1期9-15,共7页中国人口·资源与环境（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Program No.72073064);the National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Science Fund Project(Program No.71703069);the“333 distinguished Talents Project”Foundation of Jiangsu Province in China(Grant No.BRA2018070);Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(Program No.KYCX20_0876).

摘　　要：Reducing emissions due to deforestation is considered a low-cost option for mitigating climate change.However,the recent literature suggests higher opportunity costs because of specific deforestation drivers,which render reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation(REDD+)for mitigating climate change an uncertain,less attractive,and controversial option.Indonesia is one of the largest greenhouse gas emitters.Since 1989,53.80%of its oil palm expansion has come from forestlands,which has generated a significant amount of carbon emissions.This study uses official data and results from the relevant literature to estimate the costs of oil palm-based deforestation under various scenario assumptions,including different output prices,yields,time horizons,and discount rates.We also calculate the additional cost to preserve a 1-ha forest.We demonstrate that the average opportunity cost from avoiding oil palm-based deforestation is 24.42 USD/tCO_(2)eq in Indonesia,approximately 1.3 times the 2011 EUA carbon price.Additional sums of around 5,466.90–11,042.96 USD/ha should be provided to landowners for the deforestation avoidance caused by oil palm expansion.Special attention should be given to the extensive oil palm expansion in Indonesia and the resulting high opportunity costs for achieving the REDD+​target.

关 键 词：REDD+ DEFORESTATION Oil palm Opportunity cost Net present value 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]