卡车驾驶员受伤严重程度的影响因素分析  

Analysis of Risk Factors on Truck Driver Injury Severity

作　　者：徐晶晶 杨竟南 XU Jingjing;YANG Jingnan(School of Business, Jianghan University, Wuhan 430056, China;CCCC Second Highway Consultants Co.,Ltd., Wuhan 430052, China)

机构地区：[1]江汉大学商学院,武汉430056 [2]中交第二公路勘察设计研究院有限公司,武汉430052

出　　处：《交通科技》2021年第5期117-120,共4页Transportation Science & Technology

摘　　要：文中围绕卡车事故中卡车驾驶员的受伤严重程度,建立有序probit模型,探讨分析在客车-卡车致命碰撞事故中驾驶员、车辆、环境等因素对卡车驾驶员受伤严重程度的影响。结果表明,当卡车驾驶员存在过失、事故碰撞类型为迎面相撞、事故发生在夜间和凌晨时间段时,卡车驾驶员受伤的概率更高。This study mainly focused on the injury severity of truck driver.An ordered probit model was developed to explore and analyze the impact of driver,vehicle,environmental characteristics and other factors on the injury severity of truck drivers in the fatal passenger vehicle-truck crashes.The results show that if the truck driver is at fault,the collision type is head-on collision,and the crash occurs during the late night and early morning,then there is a higher probability of truck driver being injured.

关 键 词：卡车 客车 卡车驾驶员 受伤严重程度 有序PROBIT模型 

分 类 号：U491.3[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]