基于马尔可夫模型的多点源诱偏系统作战计算问题  

Combat Computation of Multi-Point Source Decoy System Based on Markov Model

作　　者：任义冬 金家才 罗金亮 REN Yi-dong;JIN Jia-cai;LUO Jin-liang(NUDT,Electronic Engineering College,Anhui Hefei 230037,China)

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学电子对抗学院,安徽合肥230037

出　　处：《现代防御技术》2021年第5期7-13,44,共8页Modern Defence Technology

摘　　要：针对反辐射武器对多点源诱偏系统的毁伤概率计算问题,提出了基于马尔可夫模型的计算方法。通过分析和推导反辐射武器对单点源的毁伤概率计算方法,引入马尔可夫模型构造马尔可夫链,并在此基础上设计了反辐射武器对多点源诱偏系统的毁伤概率计算方法。进一步,根据作战任务要求,对反辐射武器兵力需求进行计算。同时仿真验证了算法的可行性,结果表明该方法可以较好地计算出反辐射武器对具有多点源的诱偏系统的毁伤概率及兵力需求。A method based on Markov model is proposed to calculate the damage probability of anti-radiation weapons to multi-point source decoy system.By analyzing and deducing the calculation method of damage probability of anti-radiation weapons to single point source,meanwhile introducing Markov model and constructing Markov chain,the calculation method of damage probability of anti-radiation weapons to multi-point source decoy system is designed.Furthermore,according to the requirements of mission tasks,the force requirements of anti-radiation weapons can be calculated.The simulation results verify the feasibility of the algorithm.The results also show that the damage probability and force requirement of the anti-radiation weapons for multi-point source decoy system can be well calculated by the method.

关 键 词：马尔可夫模型 反辐射武器 多点源诱偏系统 毁伤概率 兵力计算 

分 类 号：TJ01[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术] E926.3[军事—军事装备学]