自然灾害次生事故隐患空间网络研究  

Study on space network of potential secondary accidents of natural disasters

作　　者：王伟 齐庆杰 刘文岗[2] WANG Wei;QI Qingjie;LIU Wengang(Foundation Department,Liaoning Technical University,Huludao Liaoning 125105,China;Central Coal Mining Research Institute,Beijing 100013,China;College of Mining Engineering,Liaoning Technical University,Fuxin Liaoning 123000,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学基础教学部,辽宁葫芦岛125105 [2]煤炭科学研究总院中央研究院,北京100013 [3]辽宁工程技术大学矿业学院,辽宁阜新123000

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2021年第10期152-158,共7页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(51704147);国家重点研发计划重点专项项目(2018YFC0807900);中国煤炭科工集团重点项目(2019-ZD-003);辽宁省教育厅基本科研项目(面上项目)(LJKZ0362)。

摘　　要：为探究自然灾害次生事故隐患与承灾体设防的关系,提出自然灾害次生事故隐患空间网络的概念。基于因素空间理论,考虑自然灾害次生事故隐患因素,给出隐患空间网络的定义,使用承灾体、承灾体指标、隐患、事故间的关系描述次生事故隐患的演化过程,建立自然灾害次生事故隐患空间网络,给出隐患模式库与事故模式库,提出自然灾害次生事故隐患分析方法,得出自然灾害次生煤矿的隐患、事故、隐患模式、事故模式,建立追溯机制。研究结果表明:消除隐患、预防自然灾害次生事故发生的整改对象可精确到承灾体指标,有助于自然灾害次生事故隐患的精准治理。In order to study relationship between potential secondary accidents of natural disasters and disaster bearing bodies'defense,concept of spatial network of secondary accidents was proposed.Firstly,definition of the network was given based on theory of factor space considering factors of potential accidents,and evolution process of these accidents were described by using relationship between disaster bearing body,disaster bearing body index,hidden danger and accidents.Then,the spatial network was established,and hidden danger model library and accident model library were provided.Finally,analysis method of potential secondary accidents were proposed,secondary hidden danger,accident,hidden danger mode and accident mode of coal mines were obtained,and tracing mechanism was established.The results show that rectification object of eliminating hidden danger and preventing secondary accidents is accurate to disaster bearing body index,which provides a new method for study of secondary accidents caused by natural disasters.

关 键 词：自然灾害 次生事故隐患 空间网络 承灾体 事故模式 

分 类 号：X915.5[环境科学与工程—安全科学]