中非农产品贸易区域差异与贸易潜力分析  

Analysis on the Regional Differences and Trade Potentials of Agricultural Products Trade between China and Africa

作　　者：全海恩 高维新 QUAN Haien;GAO Weixin(School of Economics,Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang 524088,China)

机构地区：[1]广东海洋大学经济学院,广东湛江524088

出　　处：《云南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2021年第6期129-136,共8页Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“金砖国家共赢性发展互动机制研究”(13BGJ027);广东省研究生示范课程建设项目“农产品贸易学”(2019SFKC32);广东海洋大学人文社会科学重点项目“乡村振兴战略下广东农村金融扶贫效果的实证研究”(2019-01)。

摘　　要：非洲是中国重要的农产品贸易伙伴国之一。以2007—2018年为考察期,分析了中国与非洲农产品贸易的区域差异和发展潜力。研究表明,中非农产品贸易量增大,区域集中度高,但近年来聚集有所减少,其中,西非和中非分散趋势最为显著。我国对非洲主要出口劳动密集型产品,如香料及茶叶、水产品等;自非洲进口土地密集型农产品,如油籽,谷物等,且均存在区域差异性。经济规模、对非直接投资能够正向促进中国与非洲农产品贸易,而地理距离、人口数量、人均GDP差距、汇率在一定程度上阻碍中非农产品贸易增长。中国与非洲农产品贸易潜力值分化明显,分区域看,非洲南部、北非和中非与中国贸易潜力值较小,发展潜力巨大。西非、东非存在贸易过剩情况,仍需再造潜力。中国应继续加强对非投资,为非洲提供农业生产和种子技术,并逐步实现非洲市场多元化发展,促进中非农产品贸易持续稳定增长。Africa is one of China’s important agricultural trading partners.Taking 2007—2018 as the study period,this paper analyzes the trade regional differences and development potential of agricultural products between China and Africa.The research results showed that China has increased agriculture trade with Africa,but only some countries join in it.However,the phenomenon of agglomeration has decreased in recent years.West Africa and Central Africa have the most significant dispersal trend.China usually exports labor-intensive products to Africa,such as tea and aquatic products;and imports land-intensive products from Africa,such as oils and grains.Clearly,there is a disparity of types of agricultural products among different regions.Economic scale and direct investment in Africa were positively related to the volume of agricultural trade between China and Africa,while geographical distance,population size,per capital GDP gap,and exchange rate play a negative role.The potential value of China’s agricultural trade with Africa is clearly differentiated.In detail,it indicates that there is considerable untapped trade potential between China and South Africa,North Africa,and Central Africa,and China has great trade potential with West Africa and East Africa.We can strengthen investment in Africa,provide Africa with technology of agricultural production and seed,and realize the diversification of the African market,and promote the sustained and stable growth of China-Africa agricultural trade.

关 键 词：农产品贸易 区域差异 引力模型 贸易潜力 

分 类 号：F752.65[经济管理—国际贸易]