新疆农旅融合发展的实证分析与动力机制  

The Empirical Analysis and Dynamic Mechanism of Integrated Development of Agriculture and Tourism in Xinjiang

作　　者：陈燕 田晓霞[2,3] CHEN Yan;TIAN Xiaoxia(School of Tourism,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830047,China;School of Tourism,Urumqi Vocational University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830002,China;Institute of Tourism Development,Urumqi Vocational University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830002,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学旅游学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830047 [2]乌鲁木齐职业大学旅游学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830002 [3]乌鲁木齐职业大学旅游发展研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830002

出　　处：《新疆大学学报（自然科学版）（中英文）》2021年第6期722-729,共8页Journal of Xinjiang University(Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(19XMZ077);新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2016D1A023).

摘　　要：为探究新疆农旅融合发展的现状以及构建农旅融合发展的动力机制,本文依据新疆维吾尔自治区14个地州市2009―2018年旅游与农业产业相关统计数据,建立耦合协调度模型并运用空间分析工具,探讨新疆旅游与农业产业融合发展的耦合协调度、空间相关性及时空演化特征.结果显示:新疆旅游与农业产业发展不均衡;耦合协调关系经历了由失调向协调演变的过程;耦合协调程度在空间上呈现出由无相关向正相关演化的趋势;各地州市在耦合协调发展过程中有明显的时空差异现象.针对以上结论,从系统论的角度分析新疆农旅融合发展的动力.In order to explore the current situation of the integration of agriculture and tourism in Xinjiang and construct the dynamic mechanism of the integration development of agriculture and tourism,this paper collects the relevant statistical data of tourism and agricultural industry from 2009 to 2018 in 14 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang,establishes the coupling coordination degree model,using spatial analysis tools to explore the character-istics of coupling coordination,spatial correlation and spatiotemporal evolution of the integration of tourism and agricultural industry in Xinjiang.The results show that:the development of tourism and agricultural industry in Xinjiang is not balanced,the coupling coordination relationship has experienced a process from imbalance to coordination,and the degree of coupling coordination is evolving from uncorrelation to positive correlation in space.There are obvious spatial and temporal differences in the process of coupling and coordinated development.In view of the above conclusions,this paper analyzes the driving force of the integration of agriculture and tourism in Xinjiang from the perspective of system theory.

关 键 词：农业与旅游业 耦合协调度 空间相关性 时空演化分析 新疆 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]