中国与“一带一路”沿线中亚国家的贸易变迁研究  

Changing Bilateral Trade between China and Central Asian Countries along the Belt and Road

作　　者：叶刘刚 Ye Liugang(Economic College of Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang Guangdong 524088)

机构地区：[1]广东海洋大学经济学院,广东湛江524088

出　　处：《对外经贸》2021年第10期16-21,共6页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：广东省哲学社会科学"十三五"规划学科共建项目"‘一带一路'沿线国家的贸易潜力与贸易畅通研究"(项目编号:GD16XYJ29);广东教育厅广东普通高校特色创新类项目(项目编号:2017WTSCX050)。

摘　　要：本文综合采用贸易密集度指数、行业内贸易指数、出口相似度指数、显示性比较优势指数等指标对中国和"一带一路"沿线中亚国家的贸易结构、贸易关系紧密程度、行业内贸易、贸易竞争性和互补性的演变进行了研究。研究发现1995到2019年间,中国对中亚国家的出口产品结构升级明显,双方的贸易紧密程度不断变化,行业内贸易水平始终维持较低水平。1995年以来双方在主要市场的贸易竞争性大幅减弱,贸易互补性一直较强。This paper investigates the major trends of and changes in the bilateral trade between the two economies,and explores issues associated with trade composition,trade intensity,intra-industry trade,trade competition and trade complementarities.The study finds that from 1995 to 2019 the structure of China's export products to Central Asian countries has significantly upgraded,,the degree of trade closeness between the two sides is constantly changing,and the level of intra industry trade remains at a low level.Since 1995,the trade competitiveness of the two sides in the main markets has greatly weakened,and the trade complementarity has always been strong.

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 行业内贸易 出口相似度 贸易竞争性 中亚国家 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]