基于模糊实物期权法在房地产价格评估的研究--以天津市为例  

Research on Real Estate Price Evaluation Based on Fuzzy Real Option Method--Take Tianjin as an example

作　　者：黄臻 Huang Zhen(Institute of Financial Development,Nankai University,Tianjing 300072)

机构地区：[1]南开大学金融发展研究院,天津300072

出　　处：《中国资产评估》2021年第10期49-57,共9页Appraisal Journal of China

摘　　要：房地产的价格评估非常重要,需要对项目风险进行正确的评估,进而计算预期风险影响的潜在价值。在此情况下,本文运用变换的模糊实物期权(FROV)模型来评估房地产的交易价格,并且调整相关参数对其进行投资风险评估。以天津市2009至2019年的房价变化为例,对评估模型进行实际检验,丰富了我国房地产价格评估方面的研究。The price evaluation of real estate is very important,it is necessary to correctly evaluate the project risk,and then calculate the potential value of the expected risk impact.In this case,this paper uses the fuzzy real option(FROV)model to evaluate the transaction price of real estate,and adjust the relevant parameters to assess its investment risk.Taking the housing price changes in Tianjin from 2009 to 2019 as an example,the evaluation model is tested in practice,which enriches the research on real estate price evaluation in China.

关 键 词：房地产 模糊期权 价格评估 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]