中国与RCEP成员国农产品贸易结构、效率及影响因素研究——基于细分产品的实证分析  

Research on the structure,efficiency and influencing factors of agricultural products trade between China and RCEP member countries—Based on empirical analysis of sub-products

作　　者：陈雨生[1] 王艳梅 CHEN Yusheng;WANG Yanmei

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,青岛266100

出　　处：《世界农业》2021年第12期72-83,106,128,共14页World Agriculture

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目“中美贸易摩擦升级对中国渔业经济的影响及应对策略研究”(20YJA630093)。

摘　　要：本文分析了中国与《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)成员国农产品及细分产品贸易的产品结构和市场结构,构建时变随机前沿引力模型测算中国与RCEP成员国农产品及细分产品贸易效率,并采用一步法分析其影响因素,最后对农产品贸易潜力进行分析。研究结果表明:中国与RCEP成员国农产品贸易出口以果蔬类和食品加工类产品为主,进口以果蔬类产品为主;农产品及细分产品出口日本和韩国最多,从澳大利亚和新西兰进口最多;中国与日本、韩国农产品贸易效率低、贸易额多,相反与新加坡、马来西亚、泰国和越南贸易效率高、贸易额少,因此中国与RCEP成员国农产品贸易有很大提升空间。贸易非效率项是影响农产品贸易的主要因素,其中自由贸易协定(FTA)、进口程序效率、班轮运输水平、交通基础设施等均对贸易效率有不同程度影响。基于以上研究,本文从提高贸易效率、加强成员国内部合作和提高中国农产品国际竞争力等方面提出对策建议。This article first analyzes the product structure and market structure of agricultural products and segmented products trade between China and RCEP member countries,and then constructs a stochastic frontier gravity model to measure the trade efficiency of agricultural products and segmented products between China and RCEP member countries,and uses a one-step method to analyze its impact factor,finally,analyze the potential of agricultural products trade.The results of the study show that China’s agricultural trade exports with RCEP member countries are mainly fruits and vegetables and food processing products,while imports are mainly fruits and vegetables;Agricultural products and segmented products are exported to Japan and South Korea the most,and imports from Australia and New Zealand are the most;Agricultural products trade with Japan and South Korea are inefficient and large,on the contrary,trade with Singapore,Malaysia,Thailand and Vietnam is efficient and small.Therefore,there is a lot of room for improvement in agricultural trade between China and RCEP member countries;Trade inefficiency is the main factor affecting the trade of agricultural products and segmented products,including free trade agreements,the efficiency of import procedures,the level of liner shipping,and transportation infrastructure all have varying degrees of impact on trade efficiency.Based on the above research,this article proposes countermeasures and suggestions in terms of improving trade efficiency,strengthening internal cooperation among member states,and improving the international competitiveness of Chinese agricultural products.

关 键 词：RCEP 农产品贸易 贸易效率 贸易潜力 时变随机前沿引力模型 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易] F752.6[经济管理—产业经济] F323.7