基于SEM的大型体育赛事风险识别与评价  

Risk Identification and Evaluation of Large-scale Sports Events Based on SEM

作　　者：杜卫提[1] 孙珂[2] DU Wei-ti;SUN Ke(P.E.Section,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230601,China;Department of Base,Anhui Medical College,Hefei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑大学体育部,安徽合肥230601 [2]安徽医学高等专科学校

出　　处：《通化师范学院学报》2021年第12期116-123,共8页Journal of Tonghua Normal University

基　　金：安徽省教育厅人文社科重点项目(SK2018A0574);安徽建筑大学校级自然科学研究项目(JZ202167).

摘　　要：针对大型体育赛事潜在的风险.从环境风险、赛事风险、经济风险、运营风险四个层面,对大型体育赛事面临的主要风险进行识别,选取4个一级指标和16个二级指标,构建大型体育赛事风险评价指标体系;运用结构方程模型(SEM)对大型体育赛事风险进行评价;通过实证研究验证该方法的适用性及有效性,得出综合影响大小排序为:信息风险<环境风险<设备风险<人员风险<管理风险;针对性地提出相应的风险防范策略.该研究对大型体育赛事风险的识别与防控具有一定的借鉴价值.In view of the potential risk of current situation of large-scale sports events,focuses on the identification of the major risks faced by large-scale sports events from the four aspects of environmental risk,event risk,economic risk and operational risk,selects the corresponding four first level indicators and 16 second level indicators,constructs the risk evaluation index system of large-scale sports events,and uses the structural model Based on the analysis of SEM,the risk of large-scale sports events is evalu⁃ated,Through empirical research,the applicability and effectiveness of the method are verified,and the ranking of comprehensive impact is obtained as follows:information risk<environmental risk<equipment risk<personnel risk<management risk;Corresponding risk prevention strategies are put forward.This research has certain guiding significance and reference value for the risk identification and evaluation of large-scale sports events.

关 键 词：SEM 体育赛事 风险评价 风险因素 

分 类 号：G80[文化科学—运动人体科学]