2019/20榨季食糖市场形势分析与2020/21榨季展望  

China’s Sugar Market in 2019/20 Crushing Season and Its Future Prospect for 2020/21 Crushing Season

作　　者：张哲晰 徐雪 马凯 Zhang Zhexi;Xu Xue;Ma Kai(Research Center for Rural Economy,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100810)

机构地区：[1]农业农村部农村经济研究中心,北京100810

出　　处：《农业展望》2021年第9期35-38,共4页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：农业农村部糖料全产业链农业信息分析预警项目(480321)。

摘　　要：2019/20榨季,国内食糖产量有所回落,消费量小幅减少,进口量大幅提升,价格高开低走,较上年上涨。预计2020/21榨季,中国食糖产量和消费量有所提高,进口量保持较高水平,价格震荡运行。值得关注的是,糖料生产条件较差,降本增效存在难度,食糖进口门槛较低,预拌粉扰乱秩序,市场化改革进程缓慢,政策空间有限。未来,需要大力提升产区基础条件,健全完善宏观调控体系,探索发展糖业保险。In 2019/20 crushing season,domestic sugar output dropped,the consumption decreased slightly,the import increased significantly,and the price went up from high to low,which was higher than that of the previous year.It is expected that in 2020/21 crushing season,China’s sugar production and consumption will increase,while imports will remain at a high level and prices will fluctuate.It is worth noting that the conditions of sugar production are poor,it is difficult to reduce cost and increase efficiency,the threshold of sugar import is low,premixed powder disturbs the market order,the process of market-oriented reform is slow,and the policy space is limited.In the future,we need to vigorously improve the basic conditions of the main production area,improve the macro-control system,and explore the development of sugar insurance.

关 键 词：食糖市场 供需形势 市场化改革 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]