军事仿真分析评估系统评估分析  

Evaluation and Analysis of Military Simulation Analysis and Evaluation System

作　　者：赵鑫业[1] 刘传波 高成志[1] 王超[1] ZHAO Xinye;LIU Chuanbo;GAO Chengzhi;WANG Chao(Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China;Haizhuang Military Representative Bureau in Wuhan,Wuhan 430000,China)

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院,大连116018 [2]海装驻武汉地区军事代表局,武汉430000

出　　处：《系统仿真技术》2021年第3期197-202,220,共7页System Simulation Technology

摘　　要：下一代的军事仿真分析评估系统将仿真系统与实际指挥控制系统有机结合,为军事复杂系统提供更准确的分析、预测与控制方法。对军事决策方案(作战方案)的评估,是军事决策过程中的一个重要环节,其评估结论直接影响军事决策的结果。随着战争形态由机械化向信息化的转变,作战信息呈爆炸式增长,战争系统呈现出前所未有的复杂特征,给作战想定评估工作提出了挑战。深入探讨了军事仿真分析评估系统想定及执行的基本机理、系统输出的关键元素及系统分析类别,其核心是采用定性与定量分析方法的有机融合来实现对作战方案的评估,并提出实现的途径和重点需要解决的问题。最后对军事仿真分析评估系统的评估分析发展方向提出了建议。The next generation of military simulation analysis and evaluation system combines the simulation system with the actual command and control system to provide more accurate analysis,prediction and control methods for military complex systems.Combat assessment analysis is the basis for command decision making.With the transformation of warfare from mechanization to informatization,the explosive growth of combat information,the war system presents unprecedented complex features,which poses challenges for combat assessment.In-depth discussion of the basic mechanism of the military simulation analysis and evaluation system,the key elements of the system output and the system analysis category.Finally,suggestions for the development direction of the evaluation and analysis of the military simulation analysis and evaluation system are put forward.

关 键 词：指挥与控制 军事仿真分析评估系统 评估分析 想定 

分 类 号：E91[军事] TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]