科研投入产出关系模型及其影响因素时滞分析  

Input and Output Relationship Model of Scientific Research and Time Delay Analysis of Its Influence Factors

作　　者：尚文涛 沙锐 刘艺超 SHANG Wentao;SHA Rui;LIU Yichao(High Technology Research and Development Center,the Ministry of Science and Technology,Beijing 100044;ZhongNan Hospital of Wuhan University,Wuhan 430071)

机构地区：[1]科学技术部高技术研究发展中心,北京100044 [2]武汉大学中南医院,武汉430071

出　　处：《中国基础科学》2021年第4期56-62,共7页China Basic Science

基　　金：博士后科学基金面上项目(2020M670253);武汉大学中南医院人才项目(ZNYB2019016)。

摘　　要：针对科研投入产出关系,以C-D生产函数为理论基础建立回归模型,对时间序列数据进行平稳性检验和协整分析,避免了伪回归分析。同时,以R&D经费作为主要的影响因素,分别以专利申请量和论文发表量为被解释变量,构建有限分布滞后模型,研究了基础研究经费、应用研究经费和试验开发经费对科研成果的时滞影响。In view of the relationship between scientific research input and output, a regression model was established based on C-D production function, and the stationary test and cointegration analysis of time series data are carried out to avoid pseudo regression analysis. At the same time, under the condition of R & D expenditure regarded as the main influencing factor and the number of patent applications and the number of papers published regarded as explanatory variables respectively, a finite distribution lag model was constructed to study the lag effect of basic research funds,applied research funds and experimental development funds on scientific research achievements.

关 键 词：投入产出 回归模型 有限分布滞后模型 时滞分析 

分 类 号：G311[文化科学]