Field test and probabilistic analysis of irregular steel debris casualty risks from a person-borne improvised explosive device  

作　　者：Piotr W.Sielicki Mark G.Stewart Tomasz Gajewski MichałMalendowski Piotr Peksa Hasan Al-Rifaie Robert Studzinski Wojciech Sumelka 

机构地区：[1]Institute of Structural Analysis,Faculty of Civil and Transport Engineering,Poznan University of Technology,5 Maria Skłodowska-Curie Square,60-965,Poznan,Poland [2]Institute of Building Engineering,Faculty of Civil and Transport Engineering,Poznan University of Technology,5 Maria Skłodowska-Curie Square,60-965,Poznan,Poland [3]Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability,The University of Newcastle,University Drive,Callaghan,NSW,2308,Australia

出　　处：《Defence Technology（防务技术）》2021年第6期1852-1863,共12页Defence Technology

基　　金：This work was supported by the Poland National Center for Research and Development,under the grant DOB-BIO10/01/02/2019 within the Defence and Security Programme.

摘　　要：Person-borne improvised explosive devices(PBIEDs)are often used in terrorist attacks in Western countries.This study aims to predict the trajectories of PBIED fragments and the subsequent safety risks for people exposed to this hazard.An explosive field test with a typical PBIED composed of a plastic explosive charge and steel nut enhancements was performed to record initial fragment behaviour,including positions,velocity,and trajectory angles.These data were used to predict the full trajectory of PBIED fragments using a probabilistic analysis.In the probabilistic analyses a probability of fatality or serious injury was computed.Based on the results presented,many practical conclusions can be drawn,for instance,regarding safe evacuation distances if a person were exposed to a suspected PBIED.

关 键 词：Flying fragments Human safety Person-borne improvised explosive device experiment Probabilistic analysis 

分 类 号：TJ06[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]