长三角区域人口流动与分布的影响机制:业缘还是乡缘?--以苏浙皖来沪人员为例  

Employment or homeplace-bonded?The Distributive Mechanism of Regional Migrants--A Case Study of Migrants from Yangtze River Delta to Shanghai Pudong

作　　者：罗翔 赖志勇 Luo Xiang;Lai Zhiyong(School of Social Development and Public Policy,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433;Shanghai Pudong Planning and Design Institute,200127)

机构地区：[1]复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院,上海200433 [2]上海市浦东新区规划设计研究院,上海200127

出　　处：《上海经济》2021年第6期49-60,共12页Shanghai Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41771149,42171222)。

摘　　要：人口流动影响并塑造区域劳动力结构及其空间格局,也直观地反映出区域一体化发展进程。本文以苏浙皖来沪人员为研究对象,运用来源地为区县尺度、流入地为村居委尺度的实有人口数据,分析长三角来沪人员在浦东新区的空间分布特征,并构建回归模型讨论其影响因素。研究发现,长三角来沪人员倾向于集聚在近郊地带,且苏浙皖三省人员的集聚特征存在差异性,但均表现出显著的乡缘性集聚。回归结果表明,业缘和乡缘对长三角来沪人员的空间集聚均显著正相关,其中,就业因素主要体现在制造业,而服务业的影响不显著。此外,廉价租赁住房与来沪人员的空间集聚显著正相关。Migration affects the structural changes and spatial distribution of regional labor supply and also directly reflects the process of regional integration.The article is about the spatial distribution pattern of migration in Pudong which come from Yangtze River Delta,using actual population data.A regression model is built to discuss whether employment or homeplace-bonded will count.It’s found that migration mainly gather in the suburban and show obvious geographical agglomeration.Employment and homeplacebonded have a significant positive correlation with the spatial agglomeration of migration.Specifically,employment is mainly manifested in the manufacturing industry rather than service industry.Besides,affordable housing for rent also has a significant positive correlation with its spatial agglomeration.

关 键 词：长三角区域 流动人口 空间格局 乡缘性集聚 上海浦东 

分 类 号：F832.5[经济管理—金融学]