东南地区各机场旅客吞吐量分析与机场群建设必要性研究  

Analysis of Airport Passenger Throughput and Study on Necessity of Airport Cluster Construction in Southeast China

作　　者：傅强[1] 罗远裕 FU Qiang;LUO Yuanyu(Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan 618307,Sichuan,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民用航空飞行学院,四川广汉618307

出　　处：《民航学报》2021年第6期15-20,共6页Journal of Civil Aviation

基　　金：2020年中央高校教育教学改革专项资金项目。

摘　　要：中国东南沿海地区的机场发展近年来取得了很大的进步,客货吞吐量增长迅速。本文通过研究东南地区各个机场的现状,整理出各个机场近5年来的旅客吞吐量;在分析各机场近5年来客流量变化的基础上,运用"灰色预测"模型对未来3年的旅客吞吐量进行预测;分析相应的预测数据,得出需要尽快建设"东南机场群"的结论;并分析机场群建设所面临的主要问题,给出相应的解决思路。Airports in coastal areas of Southeast China have made great development in recent years with passenger and cargo throughput growing rapidly.This paper studies the present situation of the airports in Southeast China,and provides passenger throughput of each airport in recent five years.Based on the analysis of passenger traffic change of each airport in recent five years,this paper uses Grey Prediction Model to forecast passenger throughput for the next three years.By analyzing the corresponding forecasting data,it is concluded that the Southeast China Airport Cluster should be built as soon as possible.Analysis is made on the main problems in the construction of the airport cluster,and the corresponding solving ideas are given.

关 键 词：灰色预测模型 旅客吞吐量 预测 东南机场群 

分 类 号：U8[交通运输工程]