新疆入境旅游与经济增长的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Inbound Tourism and Economic Growth in Xinjiang

作　　者：王思秀 赵宇安 朱义鑫 冯长征 WANG Si-xiu;ZHAO Yu-an;ZHU Yi-xin;FENG Chang-zheng(School of Information Management,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,Xinjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学信息管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《喀什大学学报》2021年第5期16-21,共6页Journal of Kashi University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“复杂网络视角下新疆区域系统性金融风险传染机制及其监管研究”(20BJY239)。

摘　　要：基于新疆2009—2019年度相关统计数据,选取入境旅游收入、第三产业生产总值与GDP为基础指标,分别对入境旅游收入与第三产业总值、入境旅游收入与GDP构建回归模型,分析其实证关系。通过自相关检验分析,结果表明,新疆入境旅游对第三产业和当地经济增长有正向拉动作用,且随着入境旅游业的日益发展,地区经济增长的拉动效应愈发显著。因此,通过发展新疆入境旅游业带动地区经济增长,应完善旅游基础设施,加强第三产业建设;丰富旅游产品的开发,创新产业链,打造新疆旅游品牌,深化旅游业国际交流合作等。Based on the relevant statistical data of Xinjiang from 2009 to 2019,the author selecting inbound tourism income,tertiary industry gross product and GDP as the basic indicators,respectively constructing regression models for inbound tourism income and tertiary industry gross value,inbound tourism income and GDP to analyze Evidence relationship.Through autocorrelation test analysis,the results show that Xinjiang inbound tourism has a positive effect on the tertiary industry and local economic growth,and with the increasing development of inbound tourism,the stimulating effect of regional economic growth has become more and more significant.Therefore,in order to promote regional economic growth through the development of Xinjiang's inbound tourism,measures should be taken to strengthen tourism infrastructure,improve the construction of the tertiary industry,enrich the tourism product innovation industrial chain,build Xinjiang tourism brands,and deepen international exchanges and cooperation in the tourism industry.

关 键 词：新疆入境旅游 经济增长 回归模型 自相关检验 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]