我国省级行政管理支出的空间关联性研究  

Analysis on the Spatial Correlation of China’s Provincial Administrative Expenditure

作　　者：赵娜 吴晓峰 李轩 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所 [2]北京交通大学经济管理学院 [3]中国社会科学院技术创新与战略管理研究中心

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2021年第8期168-172,共5页Price:Theory & Practice

基　　金：宁波大学,智慧金融商业模式与典型案例研究,基金号LYWT2011。

摘　　要：探究区域间行政管理支出的空间关联性,有利于更为深入地了解中国行政管理支出状况,降低行政管理成本。本文使用莫兰指数的方法对2007-2019年间中国各省份人均行政管理支出之间的联系进行研究,并分析其时空演化规律以及集聚中心和孤立点的变化过程。研究结果表明:(1)整体上,各省行政管理成本之间存在良好的空间相关性,表现出明显的空间集聚特征,且这种集聚效应存在波动性增大的趋势。(2)行政管理支出的集聚中心和孤立点的空间变化存在规律性,行政管理支出较高的集聚中心主要分布在经济落后的西部地区和部分发达的东部地区,行政管理支出较低的集聚中心主要分布在经济发展水平中等的中部地区和部分东部地区。(3)从局部莫兰指数角度看,各省行政管理支出与经济水平间整体呈现出U型曲线的关系,即随着经济的增长,行政管理支出逐渐下降,当经济增长到一定水平时,行政管理支出又开始逐渐上升。Exploring the spatial correlation of administrative expenditures between regions is conducive to a deeper understanding of China’s administrative expenditures and reducing administrative costs. This article uses the Moran Index method to study the relationship between the per capita administrative expenditures of various provinces in China from 2007 to 2019, and analyzes its temporal and spatial evolution and the change process of agglomeration centers and outliers. The research results show that:(1) On the whole, there is a good spatial correlation between the administrative costs of various provinces, showing obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics, and this agglomeration effect has a trend of increasing volatility.(2) There are regularities in the spatial changes of the agglomeration centers and isolated points of administrative management expenditures. The agglomeration centers with higher administrative expenditures are mainly distributed in the economically backward western regions and part of the developed eastern regions, and the agglomeration centers with lower administrative expenditures Mainly distributed in the central region and parts of the eastern region where the level of economic development is medium.(3) From the perspective of the partial Moran index, the overall relationship between the administrative expenditure of each province and the economic level shows a U-shaped curve, that is, as the economy grows, the administrative expenditure gradually decreases. When the economic growth reaches a certain level, the administrative expenditure Management expenses began to gradually rise again.

关 键 词：降低行政管理成本 政府行政管理支出 空间自相关指数 空间差异格局 

分 类 号：F812.45[经济管理—财政学]