高质量发展下粤港澳大湾区产业结构转换和全要素生产率  

Industrial Structure Transformation and TFP of Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Bay Area Under High-quality Development

作　　者：单婧 张文闻 Shan Jing;Zhang Wenwen

机构地区：[1]中山大学粤港澳发展研究院,广州510275 [2]招商局资本研究发展部,广州510275

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2021年第12期178-190,共13页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“粤港澳大湾区打造国际科技创新中心的方向、模式与机制研究”(19BJY011),项目负责人:李小瑛。

摘　　要：通过产业结构转换,保持经济发展的活力及提高经济发展质量,是粤港澳大湾区产业政策的重要目标之一。本文利用粤港澳大湾区9个城市及2个特别行政区1995-2018年的面板数据,对产业结构转换如何影响全要素生产率,进行了理论分析和实证研究。研究结果显示(1)粤港澳大湾区产业结构转换对于全要素生产率,具有显著的促进作用,抑制作用不显著;(2)粤港澳大湾区近年来应对经济形势采用的产业政策,对提高经济发展质量发挥了正面作用;(3)进一步加快产业结构转换对于提高全要素生产率仍有空间,在这个过程中需要注意防范要素流向虚拟经济,同时注重人力资本积累,扩大中等收入者的比重。To maintain the vitality of economic development and improve the quality of economic development through the transformation of industrial structure is one of the important objectives of industrial policy in Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao.Based on the panel data of 9 cities and 2 Special Administrative Regions in Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao from 1995 to 2018,this paper makes theoretical analysis and empirical research on how industrial structure transformation affects total factor productivity.The results show that:(1)The industrial structure transformation of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Bay area has a significant promoting effect on total factor productivity,and the inhibitory effect is not significant;(2)The industrial policies adopted by Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Bay Area in recent years have played a positive role in improving the quality of economic development;(3)There is still room for further accelerating the transformation of industrial structure to improve total factor productivity,In this process,we need to pay attention to prevent the flow of factors to the virtual economy,and at the same time pay attention to the accumulation of human capital and expand the proportion of middle-income people.

关 键 词：高质量发展 产业结构转换 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]