日澳军事同盟化的进展、考量及制约因素  

Toward a Japan-Australia Military Alliance: Development, Motivation and Restraints

作　　者：谢梓飞 Xie Zifei(Information Engineering University)

机构地区：[1]战略支援部队信息工程大学

出　　处：《和平与发展》2021年第6期111-127,131,132,共19页Peace and Development

摘　　要：日本与澳大利亚基于共同的安全利益,不断推进双边防务交流,朝向军事同盟化发展。本文从两国的军事协同行动、装备技术合作、国防情报共享及地区合作战略对接等方面着手,梳理了近年日澳推进防务合作及军事同盟化发展的有关动向,并揭示两国同盟化政策背后的利益诉求与战略考量,同时从同盟困境、国内政治、经济因素及美国因素等角度出发,综合分析日澳军事同盟化面临的内外制约因素,判断其未来战略走向。从现实条件看,日澳短期内或难以正式结为军事同盟,但在未来一段时期两国仍将继续"抱团",介入地区安全事务,强化针对第三方的军事合作,值得周边国家警惕。On the basis of shared security interests,Japan and Australia have continuously stepped up bilateral defense exchanges and moved toward a military alliance.Based on a review of their military coordination,equipment and technology cooperation,defense information sharing and synergy of their regional cooperation strategies,this paper has sorted out the development trend of Japan-Australia defense cooperation and their movement toward a military alliance.This paper has also revealed the interest appeals and strategic considerations of the two countries behind their drive for a military alliance,while analyzing in a comprehensive way the internal and external restraints facing Japan and Australia in moving toward a military alliance from the perspectives of alliance dilemma,domestic politics,economic factor and the US factor in order to make a sound judgment of the future strategic direction.From the realistic conditions,it is hard for Japan and Australia to formalize a military alliance in a short run,but they will continue to“huddle together”,get involved in regional security affairs and strengthen military cooperation against a third party for some time to come in the future,which deserves the alert of neighboring countries.

关 键 词：日本 澳大利亚 安保合作 军事同盟化 美盟体系 

分 类 号：D813[政治法律—国际关系]