混合型监测信息的公路山体滑坡灾害动态模糊预警模型  

A Dynamic Fuzzy Early Warning Model for Landslide Disaster Based on Mixed Monitoring Information

作　　者：杨悦 陈孝国[4] 黄鸿辉 刘纪峰 张会芝[1,2] YANG Yue;CHEN Xiao-guo;HUANG Hong-hui;LIU Ji-feng;ZHANG Hui-zhi(College of Architecture and Civil Engineering,Sanming University,Sanming 365004,China;Key Laboratory of Engineering Material&Structure Reinforement(Sanming University),Samming 365004,China;School of Mechanics and Civil Engineering,China?University?of?Mining?&?Technology,Beijing 100083,China;School of Information Engineering,Sanming University,Sanming 365004,China;College of Science,Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology,Harbin 150022,China)

机构地区：[1]三明学院建筑工程学院,福建三明365004 [2]工程材料与结构加固福建省高等学校重点实验室(三明学院),福建三明365004 [3]中国矿业大学(北京)力学与建筑工程学院,北京100083 [4]三明学院信息工程学院,福建三明365004 [5]黑龙江科技大学理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150022

出　　处：《三明学院学报》2021年第6期65-71,共7页Journal of Sanming University

基　　金：福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAT190690,B201903);福建省自然科学基金面上项目(2020J01391);三明学院引进高层次人才科研启动项目(19YG03);黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(LH2019E085)。

摘　　要：为有效提高公路山体滑坡的预警精度,针对指标信息具有模糊性且权重完全未知的情形,开展公路山体滑坡的动态模糊预警研究。首先构建滑坡灾害影响指标体系,其次将由实数值、区间数和语言值组成的监测混合型信息统一转化为直觉模糊数;然后利用离差最大化思想确定指标权重,并根据集成算子将各级指标监测信息进行融合,按照得分函数值进行预警评价;最后在福建茶林尾至荆东段公路的山体滑坡监测预警中进行工程实际应用,同时与其他已有模型进行对比分析,预警结果一致。上述研究不仅丰富了公路山体滑坡的预警方法,而且对于其他领域的滑坡监测也有一定借鉴意义。In order to effectively improve the early warning accuracy of highway landslides, a study on the fuzzy dynamic early warning of highway landslides is carried out in the case that the index information is fuzzy and the weight is completely unknown. Firstly, the landslide disaster impact index system is constructed. Then The mixed-type monitoring information composed of real number, interval number and language value is transformed into intuitionistic fuzzy numbe. Using the idea of maximizing the deviation to determine the index weight, and indicators monitoring information at all levels are integrated according to integration operato, Early warning evaluation is done based on scoring function values. Finally,the project is applied to the monitoring and warning of highway landslide between Chalin wei and Jingdong in FuJian province. The above research not only enriches the warning method of highway landslide, but also has definite reference significance for landslide monitoring in other fields.

关 键 词：公路山体滑坡 混合型信息 动态预警 直觉模糊数 离差最大化 

分 类 号：P642.22[天文地球—工程地质学]