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作 者:贺磊 He lei
机构地区:[1]云南师范大学中国西南对外开放与边疆安全研究中心
出 处:《印度洋经济体研究》2021年第6期114-135,153,154,共24页Indian Ocean Economic and Political Review
基 金:国家社会科学基金青年项目“澜湄合作框架下非传统安全问题协同治理研究”(项目编号:19CGJ012)阶段性成果。
摘 要:百余年来,泰国南部分离主义问题持续发展,泰国政府不断治理,但该问题仍没有解决,近年来还表现出极端化、恐怖化趋势。传统的泰南分离主义研究更多关注问题的发展而不是问题的治理,影响了对泰南分离主义问题治理的关键变量和循环互动机制的研究。本文建立了一个“问题事实—发起应对—认知结构—策略调整”的分析框架,研究认为“发起应对”是治理进程的核心变量,“认知结构”作为中间变量对策略调整和治理效果产生重要影响。根据该研究框架,本文认为泰国政府应把握发起应对的主动权,调适长期不对称的认知结构,重视民心向背,夯实互信基础,朝着“治理主体正向—治理对象正向”认知结构目标调整策略。For more than a century,the separatism in Southern Thailand has been developing continuously and the Thai government has been constantly governing this issue.However,the problem has not been solved,and in recent years,it has shown a tendency of religious extremism and terrorism.Traditional studies paid more attention to the problem of development than governance,which neglects the research on key variables and cyclic interaction mechanism of governance of southern Thailand separatism.This paper focuses on problem of governance,establishes an analytical framework of“the problem facts-initiated response-cognitive structure-strategy adjustment”,and proposes that“initiated response”is the core variable of governance process,and“cognitive structure”,as an intermediate variable,has an important impact on strategy adjustment and governance effect.According to this framework,the author thinks that the Thai government should respond actively,adjust the asymmetry of cognitive structure,attach importance to the support from the people,lay the solid foundation of mutual trust,and change the strategy towards the target of“the positive governance subject-the positive governance object”.
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