阶级政治还是部门政治?——台湾青年两岸经贸认知的实证研究  

Class Politics or Sectoral Politics:An Empirical Study of Taiwan Youth's Cross-Strait Economic and Trade Cognition

作　　者：唐桦[1,2] 刘楠 Tang Hua;Liu Nan

机构地区：[1]厦门大学台湾研究中心 [2]厦门大学台湾研究院,福建厦门361005 [3]贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2021年第6期22-37,共16页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：2018年度国家社科基金一般项目“常住大陆台胞群体的社会融入问题与对策研究”(18BZZ115)。

摘　　要：民进党当局推行限制性两岸经贸政策后,台湾青年对两岸经贸交流的认知出现积极转变。其原因何在?本文认为,阶级可以为此转变提供有力解释,以往常被忽视的产业部门对台湾社会各阶级青年两岸经贸态度也有调节效应。本文在对2016年和2020年的两轮“台湾选举与民主化调查”数据进行实证研究后发现:产业部门之间的利益冲突割裂了岛内青年的两岸经贸认知,相较于第二产业部门,处于第三产业的下层青年更倾向正面评价两岸经贸交流的效果。此外,台湾青年群体在两岸经贸交流问题上的态度差异,更大程度上是受自身所处行业部门的影响,以部门政治为主轴,阶级特点相对不明显。到大陆投资、创业和就业对台湾青年的两岸经贸态度有积极影响,而台湾青年的统“独”倾向与其两岸经贸利益认知之间无显著关联。Why is there a positive change in Taiwan youths'cognition of the cross-Strait economic and trade exchanges ever since the DPP Authorities adopted the restrictive cross-Strait economic and trade policies?This paper holds that class politics provides a powerful explanation for the change of the cross-Strait economic and trade attitude of Taiwan youth,and at the same time,finds a variable that has been often neglected in previous studies--the regulatory effect of the industrial sector on the attitude of various classes of youth in Taiwan society towards the cross-Strait economic and trade.Based on the empirical study on the two parallel rounds of questionnaire survey data of Taiwan society in 2016 and 2020,we find that the interest conflict between industrial sectors has separated the Taiw-an youths'cross-strait economic and trade cognition.Compared with the secondary industry,the youth in the tertiary industry are more inclined to positively evaluate the effect of the cross-Strait economic and trade exchanges.On the other hand,the differences in the attitudes of Taiwan's youth groups on the cross-Strait economic and trade exchanges are to a greater extent influenced by the industry sector they work in,with the“sectoral politics”as the main axis,rather than the basic class characteristics.In addition,investment,entrepreneurship,and employment in the mainland also have a positive impact on Taiwan Residents youths'attitudes towards the cross-strait economic and trade,while there is no significant correlation between their“unification and independence”tendency and the perception of the cross-strait economic and trade interests.

关 键 词：台湾青年 经贸认知 阶级 产业部门 

分 类 号：D618[政治法律—政治学]