ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model for mission effectiveness of joint operation system  

作　　者：FANG Zhigeng WU Shuang ZHANG Xiaoli SUN Yunke 

机构地区：[1]College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China

出　　处：《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》2021年第6期1394-1406,共13页系统工程与电子技术（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72071111,71801127,71671091);the NSFC and the UK Royal Society joint project(71811530338);the Special Postdoctoral Fund of China(2019TQ0150);the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(NC2019003);the Intelligence Introduction Base of the Ministry of Science and Technology(G20190010178)。

摘　　要：Effectiveness evaluation of the joint operation system is an important basis for the demonstration and development of weapon equipment.With the consideration that existing models of system effectiveness evaluation seldom describe the structural relationship among equipment clearly as well as reflect the dynamic,the analog-to-digital converter-graphical evaluation and review technique(ADC-GERT)network parameter estimation model is proposed based on the ADC model and the joint operation system structure.Firstly,analysis of the joint operation system structure and operation process is conducted to build the GERT network,where equipment subsystems are nodes and activities are directed arches.Then the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems is calculated by the ADC model.The probability transfer parameters are modified by the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems based on the Bayesian theorem,with the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model constructed.Finally,a case study is used to validate the efficiency and dynamic of the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model.

关 键 词：joint operation system system mission effectiveness analog-to-digital converter(ADC)model graphical evaluation and review technique(GERT) parameter estimation 

分 类 号：E91[军事]