基于灰色模型的衡阳市总家庭用水量预测分析  

Prediction and Analysis of Total Household Water Consumption in Hengyang City based on Gray Model

作　　者：李思燕 罗清海 高瑞霞 谢勇 LI Si-yan;LUO Qing-hai;GAO Rui-xia;XIE Yong(School of Civil Engineering,University of South China)

机构地区：[1]南华大学土木工程学院

出　　处：《建筑热能通风空调》2021年第10期35-38,共4页Building Energy & Environment

摘　　要：以衡阳市2014-2019年总家庭用水量数据,建立了新陈代谢GM(1,1)模型对衡阳市2020-2022年总家庭用水量进行预测,结果分别为7319.234万m^(3)、7655.177万m^(3)、8057.299万m^(3),呈现出逐年增长的趋势。结合对某小区的实地调研,了解居民家庭用水现状,从政府,开发商和居民自身提出家庭用水节水建议。In Hengyang city 2014-2019 total household water consumption data,the metabolism of GM(1,1)model for Hengyang city 2020-2022 total household water consumption forecast,the results are respectively 73.19×10^(6) m^(3),76.55×10^(6) m^(3),80.57×10^(6) m^(3),witch showing a growing trend year by year.Based on the field investigation of a residential area,understanding the current situation of household water use.Then put forward suggestions on household water and water-saving from the perspective of the government,developers and residents.

关 键 词：灰色预测 GM(1 1)模型 家庭用水 节水建议 

分 类 号：TU991.31[建筑科学—市政工程]