基于改进结构方程模型的陆军武器装备体系作战能力评估模型  

Evaluation Model of Land Force Weapon Equipment System Combat Capability Based on Improved SEM

作　　者：沈丙振 缪建明 李晓菲 贾广威 SHEN Binzhen;MIAO Jianming;LI Xiaofei;JIA Guangwei(Information Center, China North Industries Group Corporation, Beijing 100089, China)

机构地区：[1]中国兵器工业信息中心,北京100089

出　　处：《兵工学报》2021年第11期2503-2512,共10页Acta Armamentarii

摘　　要：作战能力评估对陆军武器装备体系发展论证和作战运用具有重要意义,其评估模型的构建又是其中最为关键的一项内容。分析基于改进结构方程模型(SEM)的陆军武器装备体系作战能力评估步骤,构建陆军武器装备体系作战能力评估指标体系,并对现有SEM进行改进。通过线性加权和法对多维度体系作战能力评估指标体系进行降维处理,提高SEM的计算效率,实现陆军武器装备体系作战能力的快速计算与综合评估。改进SEM中的聚合指标权重求解分别采用熵权法和层次分析法,将两种权重聚合指标值参与到改进SEM中计算的体系作战能力评估结果,与直接用SEM的体系作战能力评估结果进行对比。仿真实验结果表明,体系作战能力评估结果的变化趋势基本一致,实现了对改进SEM可信度和时效性的验证分析。The combat capability evaluation of weapon equipment system is significant for its development and operational applications,and the construction of evaluation model is the most critical aspect of combat capability evaluation.The evaluation steps of land force weapon equipment system combat capability were analyzed based on improved structural equation modeling(SEM),an evaluation index system of weapon equipment system combat capability was constructed,and the SEM was improved by reducing the dimension of multidimensional capability index system of land force weapon equipment system combat capability based on linear weighted sum method.The computational efficiency of SEM is increased,and the fast calculation and comprehensive evaluation of combat capability is realized by using the improved SEM.The entropy weight method and the analytic hierarchy process method are used to calculate the weight of aggregation index in the improved SEM,and the capability evaluation results of two kinds of weight aggregation indexes participating in the improved SEM are compared with those of SEM.The simulated results show that the change trends of the evaluated results are basically the same,thus validating and analyzing the accuracy and timeliness of the improved SEM.

关 键 词：陆军武器装备体系作战能力 指标体系 线性加权和 综合评估 结构方程模型 

分 类 号：E917[军事] N945.12[自然科学总论—系统科学]