产业结构转型与经济高质量发展的关联度测算  

Calculation of Correlation Between Industrial Structure Transformation and High-quality Economic Development

作　　者：刘绮莉[1] 赵晋平 金子祺[3] Liu Qili;Zhao Jinping;Jin Ziqi(School of Sociology,Suzhou University,Suzhou Jiangsu 215123,China;School of Foreign Languages,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430070,China;School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering,Suzhou University,Suzhou Jiangsu 215137,China)

机构地区：[1]苏州大学社会学院,江苏苏州215123 [2]武汉理工大学外国语学院,武汉430070 [3]苏州大学机电工程学院,江苏苏州215137

出　　处：《统计与决策》2021年第23期86-90,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71904139);苏州大学人文社会科学校级科研项目(后期资助项目培育)(21HQ0003)。

摘　　要：文章基于Copula函数,使用非参数法和参数法对我国产业结构转型升级与经济高质量发展之间的关联度进行了测算。非参数法和参数法的测算结果均表明,我国产业结构转型升级与经济高质量发展之间存在显著的正向关系;与产业结构合理化相比,产业结构高度化与经济高质量发展的关联度更高。此外,不论是使用非参数法还是参数法,结果均表明我国产业结构高度化与经济高质量发展之间的关系呈现上尾特征,二者在发展水平较高时的相关性更强。非参数法下产业结构高度化和经济高质量发展之间的关联度为0.8403,参数法下为0.7688。产业结构合理化与经济高质量发展之间的相关性则呈现两端高、中间低的对称性特征,其关联度为0.7399。进一步进行异质性分析发现,我国西部地区产业结构转型升级与经济高质量发展之间的关联度大于东中部地区。Based on Copula function,this paper uses nonparametric method and parametric method to calculate the correlation between China’s industrial structure transformation and upgrading and high-quality economic development.The results of nonparametric and parametric methods are as follows:There is a significant positive relationship between the transformation and upgrading of China’s industrial structure and high-quality economic development.Compared with the rationalization of industrial structure,the upgrading of industrial structure has a higher correlation with high-quality economic development.In addition,either nonparametric or parametric method is used,the results show that the relationship between the advanced industrial structure and the high-quality economic development in China presents an upper-tail characteristic,and the correlation between the two is stronger when the development level is higher.The correlation degree between the advanced industrial structure and the high-quality economic development is 0.8403 under the nonparametric method,and 0.7688 under the parametric method.The correlation between the rationalization of industrial structure and high-quality economic development shows the symmetry characteristics high at both ends and low in the middle,with their correlation degree to be 0.7399.Further heterogeneity analysis shows that the correlation between industrial structure transformation and upgrading and high-quality economic development in western China is greater than that in eastern and central China.

关 键 词：COPULA函数 产业结构合理化 产业结构高度化 经济高质量发展 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]