中国县域经济发展对碳排放的影响研究  

Study on the Impact of County Economic Development on Carbon Emission in China

作　　者：杨世乒 何邕健[2] YANG Shiping;HE Yongjian

机构地区：[1]天津大学建筑设计规划研究总院有限公司 [2]天津大学建筑学院

出　　处：《西部人居环境学刊》2021年第6期16-22,共7页Journal of Human Settlements in West China

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC0704701)。

摘　　要：在"碳达峰、碳中和"的国家战略背景下,控制碳排放成为各地发展经济的前提条件。县域是中国社会经济发展的基础单元,统筹县域经济发展和碳排放的关系对中国实现控碳战略具有重要意义。基于中国172个县级单元的经济发展和碳排放数据,采用线性回归模型分析法,对中国县域经济发展对碳排放的影响进行了分析。研究发现:一、县域碳排放总量与经济总量和工业化水平高度正相关,经济发展水平的提高有助于提升碳生产力,降低碳排放强度;二、县域内工业的集聚有助于降低碳排放强度,但服务业的聚集将会导致县域碳排放水平的上升。基于此,建议在县级国土空间规划中,应加强县域工业用地的集中布局,确保基本公共服务设施的均等化。It has become a global consensus that continued greenhouse gas emissions have had a major impact on the global climate.China’s fossil energy-based energy structure has brought greater pressure to reduce emissions.In the context of the recently proposed “carbon peak and carbon neutral” national strategy,the control of carbon emissions has become a prerequisite for economic development across the country.Counties are the basic unit of China’s social and economic development.Coordinating the relationship between county economic development and carbon emissions is of great significance to China’s carbon control strategy.Existing research on county-level low-carbon development mainly includes research on the spatial pattern evolution of carbon emissions,low-carbon development paths,industrial structure optimization,and low-carbon land use planning.The research and discussion on carbon control mechanisms based on quantitative analysis methods are relatively shallow.China’s territorial and spatial planning system is gradually being established.The management and control of all factors in the entire region will help improve China’s carbon emission governance capabilities.Therefore,it is particularly necessary to study the impact mechanism of industrial carbon emissions at the county level,which can support the formulation of low-carbon governance strategies.Using model analysis,based on the economic development and carbon emissions data of 172 county-level units in China,the impact of economic development in China’s counties on carbon emissions is analyzed.Dividing all the research samples into three categories based on the comprehensive economic development level,it can be found that the economic development level of most counties in China is relatively low at present,and they show significant regional differentiation and huge gaps between different development levels.By analyzing the spatial characteristics of county economic development,most counties have formed a corporate layout model with central ur

关 键 词：低碳规划 县域经济 碳排放 国土空间规划 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]