基于地下水可持续利用的昌平区水源规划分析  

Analysis of water source planning for sustainable utilization of groundwater in Changping District

作　　者：张霓 高赛 罗昊 李一阳 卢丽 ZHANG Ni;GAO Sai;LUO Hao;LI Yiyang;LU Li(Beijing Water Science and Technology Institute,Beijing 100048,China;Beijing South-to-North Water Diversion Trunk Line Management Office,Beijing 100195,China;China Water Resources Pearl River Planning Surveying&Designing Co.,Ltd Beijing Branch,Beijing 100048,China;Hohai University,Changzhou 213022,China;University of Miami,Miami 33143,USA;Daning Department of Beijing South-to-North Water Diversion Project,Beijing 102400,China)

机构地区：[1]北京市水科学技术研究院,北京100048 [2]北京市南水北调干线管理处,北京100195 [3]中水珠江规划勘测设计有限公司北京分公司,北京100048 [4]河海大学,常州213022 [5]迈阿密大学,迈阿密美国331436 [6]北京市南水北调大宁管理处,北京102400

出　　处：《北京水务》2021年第6期20-25,共6页Beijing Water

摘　　要：以昌平区为例,在计算昌平区水资源量及可开采量基础上,采用二元回归分析法,将水源地年降水量与水位年变幅作为自变量,地下水开采量作为因变量,建立二元回归方程,进一步确定昌平区集中水源地的可持续开采量。根据水源地分布、可持续开采量,以及各乡镇的地形高程、供水管网联网情况,昌平区集中供水单元分为新城、东区、南区和西区。以各供水单元为单位,以集中水源的可持续供水量为依据进行水源配置,并根据各供水单元供需情况提出了产业结构与布局优化的建议,为昌平区供水规划布局提供科技支撑。Taking Changping District as an example,we calculated the water resources amount and re⁃coverable amount.this paper adopted a binary regression analysis method to determine the sustainable ex⁃ploitation amount of concentrated water source areas.The annual precipitation and variation of groundwa⁃ter level in water source area are both independent variables.And the amount of groundwater extraction was dependent variable.According to the distribution of water sources,sustainable water resource exploi⁃tation amount,terrain elevation and water supply pipe network of each town,the centralized water supply units were divided into New Town,Eastern District,Southern District and Western District.We processed the water allocation on the basis of the sustainable water supply of concentrated water sources in each wa⁃ter supply unit.In order to solve the insufficient water supply problems of the centralized water source ar⁃ea,we gave the water source supplement plan.The results provided a scientific support for water supply planning and layout in Changping District.

关 键 词：地下水 二元回归分析法 水资源配置 水源规划 

分 类 号：TV212[水利工程—水文学及水资源]