基于累积前景理论的货运汽车出行路径选择研究  

Research on the Route Choice of Freight Truck Based on Cumulative Prospect Theory

作　　者：陈队永 牛炳朝 CHEN Dui-yong;NIU Bing-chao(School of Traffic Transportation,Shijiazhuang Tiedao University,Shijiazhuang 050000,China)

机构地区：[1]石家庄铁道大学交通运输学院,石家庄050000

出　　处：《价值工程》2022年第2期82-84,共3页Value Engineering

基　　金：河北省高等学校社科研究2020年度基金项目(编号:SD201040)。

摘　　要：高速公路分车型收费政策的实施,对货运汽车驾驶员的出行路径选择有较大的影响。本文结合有限理性理论,将MNL模型中的效用作为累积前景理论的客观效用,将MNL模型中的概率作为累积前景理论的客观概率,以出行路径选择为重点,探索参考点及偏好系数对货运出行路径选择的影响。将调查数据基于MNL—累积前景理论模型进行验证,计算结果表明了模型的有效性。The implementation of Expressway charging policy by vehicle type has a great impact on the travel path choice of freight vehicle drivers.Combined with the bounded rationality theory,this paper takes the utility in MNL model as the objective utility of cumulative prospect theory,takes the probability in MNL model as the objective probability of cumulative prospect theory,and focuses on travel path selection to explore the impact of reference points and preference coefficients on freight travel path selection.The survey data are verified based on MNL cumulative prospect theory model,and the calculation results show the effectiveness of the model.

关 键 词：货运汽车 分车型收费 出行行为 前景理论 

分 类 号：U469.21[机械工程—车辆工程] F274[交通运输工程—载运工具运用工程]