中国城市居民收入和储蓄增长对家庭能耗碳排放的区域异质性及政策应对  

Regional Heterogeneity and Policy Responses of the Rising Residential Income and Savings on China’s Urban Household Energy-Related CO_(2)

作　　者：李娜娜 赵月[1,2] 王军锋 LI Nana;ZHAO Yue;WANG Junfeng(College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350,China;Research Center for Resource,Energy and Environmental Policy,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350,China;Environmental Development Center of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]南开大学环境科学与工程学院,天津300350 [2]南开大学循环经济与低碳发展研究中心,天津300350 [3]生态环境部环境发展中心,北京100029

出　　处：《生态经济》2022年第1期30-35,共6页Ecological Economy

基　　金：天津市自然科学基金重点项目“中国电力生产与消费碳排放空间结构、影响机制及减排情景研究”(18JCZDJC39900);国家自然科学基金项目“零碳化城市群电力系统气候环境效应与空间协同治理政策研究”(72174097)。

摘　　要：估计和预测城市居民收入变化对家庭能源消费碳排放的影响,对城市家庭消费部门构建低碳能源供应体系,应对气候变化具有重要意义。论文首先估计了中国284个地级以上城市的家庭三类能源消费的直接碳排放量,建立了面板固定效应模型来识别城市家庭能耗碳排放增长和变化的驱动因素。研究结果表明:城市居民收入的快速增长与储蓄水平的提高对于家庭碳排放有显著影响;城市家庭收入和储蓄的增加会抑制家庭燃气碳排放的产生,但对于城市家庭用电碳排放和城市家庭采暖碳排放,则表现出显著的推动作用。此外,研究还发现了家庭碳排放的影响因素存在显著的区域异质性。It is of great significance to estimate and forecast the impact of urban residents’income changes on household CO_(2) from direct energy consumption for urban household consumption sector to build a low-carbon energy supply system and deal with climate change.The paper first estimated the household CO_(2) from three energy types in 284 cities of China,and established a panel fixed effect model to identify the driving factors of the increase and change of urban household CO_(2).The results show that the rapid increase of urban residents’income and their savings have a significant impact on household CO_(2).The increase of urban household income and savings will inhibit the generation of household CO_(2) from fuel gas consumption,but will significantly promote the CO_(2) from urban household electricity and heating consumption.The study also found that the influencing factors of household carbon emissions have obvious regional heterogeneity.

关 键 词：城市居民收入 城市居民储蓄 城市家庭直接能耗碳排放 固定效应模型 区域异质性 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]