基于碳约束的区域能源结构优化实证  

An Empirical Study of Regional Energy Structure Optimization Based on Carbon Constraint

作　　者：陆彪[1] 王索军 陈德敏[1] 汤凯 刘莹惠 鲁月红[1] LU Biao;WANG Suojun;CHEN Demin;TANG Kai;LIU Yinghui;LU Yuehong(School of Architectural Engineering,Anhui University of Technology,Maanshan 243032,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学建筑工程学院,安徽马鞍山243032

出　　处：《安徽工业大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第1期86-90,共5页Journal of Anhui University of Technology（Natural Science）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51608001)。

摘　　要：依据《中国能源统计年鉴2020》《上海市统计年鉴2020》,以上海市2019年实际碳排放总量220.4×10^(6)t削减10%作为碳约束目标,运用碳夹点方法求解上海市在全局和各部门碳约束下的清洁能源最小需求量,对两种情景下的能源结构进行优化分配。结果表明:两种情景下,上海市清洁能源最小需求量均为88.7×10^(16)J;在产业部门碳约束下,清洁能源分配给第三产业的比例为53.9%,远高于第二产业和生活消费部门,第三产业对清洁能源的容纳率最高。建议上海市应推进能源技术改革,大力发展清洁能源技术和低碳技术;加快产业结构升级改造,进一步确立以金融业、信息业等为主的第三产业优势地位,逐步削减第二产业规模,将其打造成"小而精"的发展模式。According to the China Energy Statistical Yearbook 2020 and Shanghai Statistical Yearbook 2020taking the reduction of 10% of actual total carbon emission of 220.4×10^(6)t in 2019 as the carbon constraint target,the carbon pinch method was used to solve the minimum demand for clean energy in shanghai under the global and departmental carbon constraints,and optimize the energy structure under the two scenarios.The results show tha in both scenarios,the minimum demand for clean energy in Shanghai is 88.7×10^(16)J;Under the carbon constraint of the industrial sector,the proportion of clean energy allocated to the tertiary industry is 53.9%,which is much higher than that of the secondary industry and domestic consumer sector,and the tertiary industry has the highest capacity for clean energy.It is suggested that Shanghai should promote energy technology reform,and vigorously develop clean energy technology and low-carbon technology.Accelerate the upgrading and transformation of industria structure,further establish the dominant position of the tertiary industry dominated by financial and information industries,and gradually reduce the scale of the secondary industry,to build it into a“small but fine”developmen model.

关 键 词：碳约束 碳夹点 区域能源结构 清洁能源 

分 类 号：TK018[动力工程及工程热物理]