国际运输通道与区域经济高质量发展——来自中欧班列开通的证据  

International Transport Channel and High-quality Economic Development——Evidence from the Sino-Euro Cargo Railway in Service

作　　者：韦东明 顾乃华 WEI Dongming;GU Naihua

机构地区：[1]暨南大学产业经济研究院 [2]暨南大学“一带一路”与粤港澳大湾区研究院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2021年第12期34-48,共15页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“粤港澳大湾区产业融合发展的机制与政策研究”(19ZDA079);国家社会科学基金重大项目“共生理论视角下中国与‘一带一路’国家间产业转移模式与路径研究”(17ZDA047)。

摘　　要：自"一带一路"倡议被提出以来,中欧班列作为欧亚大陆互联互通的重要国际运输通道,提升了双边贸易便利化和经贸合作水平,对区域经济高质量发展产生了深远影响。本文以中欧班列开通作为准自然实验,采用多期双重差分法考察"一带一路"倡议背景下国际运输通道对区域经济高质量发展的影响效应。研究发现:(1)中欧班列开通显著推动了区域经济高质量发展;(2)中欧班列通过技术创新效应、产业结构效应、资源再配置效应等机制渠道推动区域经济高质量发展,且主要通过区域技术进步实现传导作用;(3)中欧班列开通的促进效应在中西部地区更为明显,且集中于大中型城市和非资源型城市;(4)中欧班列的开通次数、途径站点数量和发达国家目的地对国际运输通道的促进作用具有正向的调节效应;(5)中欧班列开通对周边区域经济高质量发展具有正向辐射作用,其辐射范围大致位于250公里以内。本文揭示了国际运输通道对区域经济高质量发展的影响机制,对于推动"一带一路"倡议背景下基础设施互联互通,构建"双循环"新发展格局具有一定现实意义。The Sino-Euro Cargo Railway,a significant transport channel on the Eurasia continent after the launch of “the Belt and Road”Initiative( BRI),has been upgrading the levels of trade facilitation and economic cooperation,and impacting on the regional high-quality economic development deeply and significantly. In this paper,we employed time-varying DID and took Sino-Euro Cargo Railway as a quasi-natural experiment to study the effect of international transportation channel on regional high-quality economic development. We find that:( 1) The Sino-Euro Cargo Railway significantly promotes regional high-quality economic development;( 2) Technological innovation,upgrading of industrial structure,and redistribution of resources are three mechanisms,of which technological innovation is the most important;( 3) The promoting effect of Sino-Euro Cargo Railway is more evident in the mid-western regions,large and medium cities,and non-resourcebased cities;( 4) The number of trains,stations stop by,and development level of destination country have positive conditioning effects on the promoting effect of Sino-Euro Cargo Railway;( 5) The spatial effect of Sino-Euro Cargo Railway is about 250 kilometers. Our results provide important insights for improving the BRI through transportation infrastructure construction and for founding a dual circulation development pattern after the pandemic.

关 键 词：国际运输通道 中欧班列 经济高质量发展 “一带一路”倡议 

分 类 号：F531[经济管理—产业经济]