国际规则协同与农产品贸易逆差:兼论“双循环”新发展格局下的农业安全  

International Rule Co-ordination and Agricultural Trade Deficits:Agricultural Security in a New“Double-Cycle”Development Landscape

作　　者：王俊 WANG Jun(Economics and Trade,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006)

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,广州510006

出　　处：《南京师大学报（社会科学版）》2022年第1期101-111,共11页Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“推动构建面向全球的高标准自由贸易区网络研究”(20AZD101)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：在我国构建“双循环”新发展格局背景下,基于农业外循环“失衡”、内外循环“失调”的典型事实,探讨了国际规则协同对中国农产品贸易逆差及农业安全的影响。以中国与自由贸易协定伙伴国家之间产品层面数据开展的实证检验发现,国际规则协同能够显著地促进中国农产品贸易逆差改善,农业生产率的调节效应也是存在的。国际规则协同对农产品贸易净值影响存在规则、产品及国别三个维度的异质性。特别是,原产地规则、SPS规则及环境保护规则等三种代表性国际规则并非均能改善农产品贸易逆差。基于此,文章从提高中国在全球经贸规则制定中的话语权、统筹构建“区域统一”“标准适当”的规则体系、提升农业生产率等方面提出政策建议。This paper discusses the impact of international rule co-ordination on Chinese agricultural trade deficit and agricultural security,based on the typical fact that the external cycle of agriculture is“unbalanced”and the internal and external cycles are“out of balance”.The empirical test uses product-level data between China and FTA partner countries.The results show that the international rule co-ordination can significantly contribute to an improvement in Chinese agricultural trade,and that a moderating effect of agricultural productivity is also present.There is heterogeneity across the three dimensions of rules,products and countries in terms of the impact of international rule co-ordination on net agricultural trade.In particular,three representative international rules,such as rules of origin,SPS rules and environmental protection rules,do not all improve the agricultural trade deficit.Based on this,the paper puts forward some policy suggestions,such as improving China s right to speak in the formulation of global trade rules,building a rule system characterized by“regional unification”and“appropriate standard”,and improving agricultural productivity.

关 键 词：国际规则协同 自由贸易协定 农产品贸易逆差 农业安全 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.6